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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 59.6 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 60.3 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 5.1 | No line yet | – |
Recent receiving yards
54.0Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs LV | 83 | 83 | 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026vs MIA | 26 | 26 | 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026at NE | 44 | 44 | 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs CLE | 104 | 104 | 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026at CHI | 27 | 27 | 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026at DET | 107 | 107 | 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs GB | 57 | 57 | 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026at TEN | 79 | 79 | 6 |
| Nov 9, 2025vs CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 12, 2025vs DEN | 13 | 13 | 3 |
| Average · last 10 games | 54 | 54 | 4.6 |
RUSH+REC, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Garrett Wilson has averaged 56.8 yards over his last 5 games and 65.9 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Garrett Wilson’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Garrett Wilson’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- KC
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- KC allowed the 24th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 124.6 yards/game · 24th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Garrett Wilson, answered here:
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