Receiving Yards · Week 6
Projection only
26.0Projection · receiving yards
11.5Line · consensus
+14.5Gap
Average · last 4 games 25.3
Average miss 22.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections · Updated Oct 17
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Projections & lines
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 26.0 | 11.5 | +14.5 |
| Receptions | 2.1 | 1.5 | +0.6 |
Recent receiving yards
25.3Average receiving yards, last 4 (4 games)Over 11.5 in 3 of 4 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 11 · ● landed over · ○ did not
Full game log
| Date | Opponent | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs LV | 57 |
| Oct 4 | @ BUF | 12 |
| Sep 20 | vs PIT | 30 |
| Sep 9 | @ SEA | 2 |
This matchup
- Opponent
- NYJ
- Kickoff
- Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- NYJ allowed the 14th-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 55.8 yards/game · 14th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 11.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.
| Book | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuelOct 17, 10:10 AM ET | −114Best | −114Best |
Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.
Prices as of Oct 17, 10:10 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Eli Raridon, answered here:
Model accuracy
NFL receiving-yard model · 145 graded projections
22.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 145 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
StatIQ projects Eli Raridon for 26 receiving yards against NYJ in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Eli Raridon has averaged 25.3 yards over his last 4 games and 25.3 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Oct 11, 2026): 25.2 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Eli Raridon’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+14.5 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 145 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Eli Raridon’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Eli Raridon vs NYJ?
StatIQ projects Eli Raridon for 26 yards receiving yards against NYJ in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
How has Eli Raridon performed in receiving yards recently?
Eli Raridon has averaged 25.3 yards over his last 4 games and 25.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.
How many receiving yards did Eli Raridon have in his last game?
Eli Raridon had 57 yards receiving yards in his most recent game vs LV. The full game log on the page has the rest.
How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?
Across 145 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.8 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.
Next
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