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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 69.5 | No line yet | – |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 64.3 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 5.0 | No line yet | – |
Recent receiving yards
69.6Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Oct 22
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026at CHI | 48 | 48 | 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs NYJ | 27 | 27 | 3 |
| Sep 9, 2026at SEA | 26 | 26 | 3 |
| Dec 28, 2025at BUF | 68 | 68 | 5 |
| Dec 20, 2025at WSH | 95 | 95 | 9 |
| Dec 14, 2025vs LV | 41 | 41 | 2 |
| Dec 8, 2025at LAC | 100 | 100 | 6 |
| Nov 28, 2025vs CHI | 132 | 132 | 10 |
| Nov 23, 2025at DAL | 110 | 110 | 8 |
| Nov 16, 2025vs DET | 49 | 49 | 7 |
| Average · last 10 games | 69.6 | 69.6 | 5.6 |
RUSH+REC, REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, A.J. Brown has averaged 52.8 yards over his last 5 games, 33.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 13 yards across 1 game against GB; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for A.J. Brown’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- A.J. Brown’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- GB
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- GB allowed the 19th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 135.1 yards/game · 19th of 32
- Against GB
- 13 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about A.J. Brown, answered here:
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