Average · last 5 games 2.4
Average miss 1.7 · NFL reception model · 273 graded projections · Updated Oct 19
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Average · last 5 games 2.4
Average miss 1.7 · NFL reception model · 273 graded projections · Updated Oct 19
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 2.4 | 2.5 | −0.1 |
| Rushing Yards | 38.5 | 46.5 | −8.0 |
| Receiving Yards | 14.7 | 13.5 | +1.2 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 41.6 | 64.5 | −22.9 |
2.1Average receptions, last 10 (10 games)Over 2.5 in 2 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 11 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Date | Opponent | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs NYG | 1 |
| Sep 27 | vs SEA | 1 |
| Sep 20 | @ DAL | 6 |
| Sep 13 | @ PHI | 2 |
| Jan 3 | vs CAR · 2025 | 2 |
| Dec 28 | @ MIA · 2025 | 2 |
| Dec 21 | @ CAR · 2025 | 2 |
| Dec 11 | vs ATL · 2025 | 1 |
| Dec 7 | vs NO · 2025 | 1 |
| Nov 30 | vs ARI · 2025 | 3 |
Receptions · line 2.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.
| Book | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally BetOct 19, 10:23 AM ET | +108 | – |
| BetMGMOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | +110 | −150 |
| betPARXOct 19, 10:25 AM ET | +114 | −148 |
| BetRiversOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | +112 | – |
| DraftKingsOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | +113 | −144 |
| ESPN BETOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | +115Best | −150 |
| FanDuelOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | +112 | −148 |
| Hard Rock BetOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | +110 | −140Best |
| Hardrockbet FlOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | +110 | −140Best |
| Shown, never used as our price | ||
| FliffOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | +105 | −155 |
Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.
Prices as of Oct 19, 10:25 AM ET.
Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.
Questions to ask Explorer about Rachaad White, answered here:
1.7average miss (mean absolute error)
141 of 273 within 1.5
Neither number is a range for this game.
StatIQ projects Rachaad White for 2.4 receptions against SF in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Rachaad White has averaged 2.4 over his last 5 games, 2.5 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 1 game against SF; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
StatIQ projects Rachaad White for 2.4 receptions against SF in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Rachaad White has averaged 2.4 over his last 5 games, 2.5 per game this season (2026), and 3 across 1 game against SF. That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.
Rachaad White had 1 receptions in his most recent game vs NYG. The full game log on the page has the rest.
Across 273 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.