StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Stefon Diggs Projections

WAS · WR · #3
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
vs IND
Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
53.9receiving yards projected vs IND
Season average 45 · Last five 55.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
01531466255PHI47DAL33SEAStatIQ projection 53.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs SEA33
Sep 20, 2026@ @ DAL47
Sep 13, 2026@ @ PHI55
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Stefon Diggs
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Stefon Diggs trending lately?55.8 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Stefon Diggs, 53.9 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Stefon Diggs for 53.9 receiving yards against IND in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Stefon Diggs has averaged 55.8 yards over his last 5 games and 45 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Stefon Diggs’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
IND · neutral site
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
Recent form
55.8 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Stefon Diggs vs IND?

StatIQ projects Stefon Diggs for 53.9 yards receiving yards against IND in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Stefon Diggs performed in receiving yards recently?

Stefon Diggs has averaged 55.8 yards over his last 5 games and 45 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of IND vs WAS
the whole game
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