Average · last 5 games 14.2
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 272 graded projections · Updated Oct 19
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Average · last 5 games 14.2
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 272 graded projections · Updated Oct 19
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 14.7 | 13.5 | +1.2 |
| Rushing Yards | 38.5 | 46.5 | −8.0 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 41.6 | 64.5 | −22.9 |
| Receptions | 2.4 | 2.5 | −0.1 |
12.3Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 13.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 11 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Date | Opponent | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs NYG | 2 |
| Sep 27 | vs SEA | 6 |
| Sep 20 | @ DAL | 40 |
| Sep 13 | @ PHI | 5 |
| Jan 3 | vs CAR · 2025 | 18 |
| Dec 28 | @ MIA · 2025 | 7 |
| Dec 21 | @ CAR · 2025 | 15 |
| Dec 11 | vs ATL · 2025 | 6 |
| Dec 7 | vs NO · 2025 | 2 |
| Nov 30 | vs ARI · 2025 | 22 |
Receiving Yards · line 13.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.
| Book | Over 13.5 | Under 13.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally BetOct 19, 10:23 AM ET | −114 | – |
| BetMGMOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | −111 | −120 |
| betPARXOct 19, 10:25 AM ET | −109Best | −118 |
| BetRiversOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | −110 | −120 |
| FanDuelOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | −113 | −113 |
| Hard Rock BetOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | −120 | −110Best |
| Hardrockbet FlOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | −120 | −110Best |
| Shown, never used as our price | ||
| FliffOct 19, 10:24 AM ET | −120 | −125 |
Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.
Prices as of Oct 19, 10:25 AM ET.
Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.
Questions to ask Explorer about Rachaad White, answered here:
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
177 of 272 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
StatIQ projects Rachaad White for 14.7 receiving yards against SF in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Rachaad White has averaged 14.2 yards over his last 5 games, 13.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 21 yards across 1 game against SF; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
StatIQ projects Rachaad White for 14.7 yards receiving yards against SF in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Rachaad White has averaged 14.2 yards over his last 5 games, 13.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 21 yards across 1 game against SF. That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.
Rachaad White had 2 yards receiving yards in his most recent game vs NYG. The full game log on the page has the rest.
Across 272 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 21.8 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.