Antonio Williams receiving yards projection vs the line
WAS · WR · #14
Next game vs LA · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
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Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 4 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 41.1 | 43.5 | −2.4 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 43.8 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 3.5 | −0.1 |
Recent receiving yards
37.0Average receiving yards, last 7 (7 games)Over 43.5 in 3 of 7 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs PHI | 54 | 54 | 5 |
| Oct 19, 2026at SF | 50 | 50 | 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs NYG | 31 | 31 | 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs IND | 21 | 21 | 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs SEA | 15 | 15 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026at DAL | 24 | 24 | 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026at PHI | 64 | 64 | 4 |
| Average · last 7 games | 37 | 37 | 3.3 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Antonio Williams has averaged 34.2 yards over his last 5 games and 37 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Antonio Williams’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (−2.4 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Antonio Williams’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- LA
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- LA allowed the 13th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 144.8 yards/game · 13th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 43.5.
4 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −117.
Prices as of Nov 6, 3:13 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Antonio Williams, answered here:
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