Marvin Harrison Jr. receiving yards projection vs the line
HOU · WR · #18
Next game at LAC · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 7 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 23.0 | 26.5 | −3.5 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 2.5 | −0.7 |
Recent receiving yards
24.1Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 26.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 25 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026vs NYG | 6 | 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs JAX | 34 | 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026at NYG | 12 | 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026at SF | 40 | 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs SEA | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13, 2026at LAC | 33 | 1 |
| Dec 28, 2025at CIN | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 21, 2025vs ATL | 14 | 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025at TB | 69 | 6 |
| Nov 9, 2025at SEA | 33 | 3 |
| Average · last 10 games | 24.1 | 1.9 |
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Marvin Harrison Jr. has averaged 18.4 yards over his last 5 games, 20.8 yards per game this season (2026), and 33 yards across 1 game against LAC; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Marvin Harrison Jr.’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (−3.5 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Marvin Harrison Jr.’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- LAC
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- LAC allowed the 21st-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 127.5 yards/game · 21st of 32
- Against LAC
- 33 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 26.5.
7 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 4:13 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Marvin Harrison Jr., answered here:
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