Kimani Vidal rush + rec yards projection vs the line
LAC · RB · #28
Next game vs HOU · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
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Projections & lines
Average miss 28.9 yards · NFL rush + rec yards model · 139 graded projections · Updated Nov 5
Compare prices · 1 book quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 38.7 | 30.5 | +8.2 |
| Rushing Yards | 30.4 | 18.5 | +11.9 |
| Receiving Yards | 11.2 | 7.5 | +3.7 |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.5 | +0.2 |
Recent rush + rec yards
25.1Average rush + rec yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 30.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH+REC | RUSH YDS | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at LAR | 30 | 23 | 7 | 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026at KC | 40 | 21 | 19 | 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs DEN | 56 | 57 | -1 | 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026at SEA | 36 | 25 | 11 | 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026at BUF | 20 | 6 | 14 | 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs ARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 4, 2026at DEN | 10 | 12 | -2 | 1 |
| Dec 21, 2025at DAL | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 14, 2025at KC | 48 | 33 | 15 | 1 |
| Average · last 10 games | 25.1 | 18.8 | 6.3 | 1.1 |
Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rush + rec yards model · 139 graded projections
28.9 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Kimani Vidal has averaged 36.4 yards over his last 5 games and 26 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Kimani Vidal’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+8.2 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rush + rec yards projection and the actual result, over 139 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Kimani Vidal’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- HOU
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- HOU allowed the 30th-most scrimmage yards to RBs in 2025 105 yards/game · 30th of 32
Compare prices
Rush + Rec Yards · line 30.5.
1 book has a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −111 · Under −120.
Prices as of Nov 5, 6:45 PM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Kimani Vidal, answered here:
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