Joe Burrow Projections
CIN · QB · #9
Next game Opponent: ATL · neutral site · Week 9 · Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Wed 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Wed, Nov 4, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 288.4 | No line yet | – |
| Passing Touchdowns | 2.5 | No line yet | – |
Recent passing yards
296.5Average passing yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | PASS YDS | PASS TD |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs TEN | 462 | 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026at BAL | 292 | 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026at MIA | 190 | 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs JAX | 428 | 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026at PIT | 282 | 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026at HOU | 207 | 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs TB | 254 | 1 |
| Jan 4, 2026vs CLE | 236 | 3 |
| Dec 28, 2025vs ARI | 305 | 2 |
| Dec 21, 2025at MIA | 309 | 4 |
| Average · last 10 games | 296.5 | 2.9 |
PASS TD: Early projection · no line posted yet
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Joe Burrow has averaged 330.8 yards over his last 5 games and 302.1 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Joe Burrow’s passing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Joe Burrow’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- ATL · neutral site
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- ATL allowed the 18th-most passing yards to QBs in 2025 221.9 yards/game · 18th of 32
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Joe Burrow, answered here:
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