Jadarian Price rushing yards projection vs the line
SEA · RB · #8
Next game vs ARI · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
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Projections & lines
Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 4 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 39.0 | 54.5 | −15.6 |
| Receiving Yards | 14.3 | 8.5 | +5.8 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 52.7 | 67.5 | −14.8 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.5 | +0.3 |
Recent rushing yards
29.6Average rushing yards, last 5 (5 games)Over 54.5 in 0 of 5 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 2 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH YDS | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026vs CHI | 29 | 8 | 37 | 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026vs LAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27, 2026at WSH | 15 | 7 | 22 | 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026at ARI | 52 | 8 | 60 | 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026vs NE | 52 | 6 | 58 | 2 |
| Average · last 5 games | 29.6 | 5.8 | 35.4 | 1.2 |
Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections
26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 157 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Jadarian Price has averaged 29.6 yards over his last 5 games, 29.6 yards per game this season (2026), and 52 yards across 1 game against ARI; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 2, 2026): 37 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Jadarian Price’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (−15.6 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Jadarian Price’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- ARI
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- ARI allowed the 4th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 113.3 yards/game · 4th of 32
- Against ARI
- 52 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample
Compare prices
Rushing Yards · line 54.5.
4 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −116 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Jadarian Price, answered here:
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