Chuba Hubbard rushing yards projection vs the line

CAR · RB · #30

Next game vs DEN · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

69.2StatIQ projection · rushing yards

70.5Line · consensus

−1.3Gap

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Projections & lines

4 markets

Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6

Compare prices · 1 book quoted

Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Rushing Yards	69.2	70.5	−1.3
Receiving Yards	20.2	16.5	+3.7
Rush + Rec Yards	92.2	91.5	+0.7
Receptions	2.9	2.5	+0.4

Recent rushing yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

58.9Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 70.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds

Dec 21

Dec 28

Jan 3

Sep 13

Sep 20

Sep 27

122

Oct 4

120

Oct 18

Oct 25

Oct 29

Actual · 2026 Actual · 2025 Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games (2026 in full colour, 2025 lighter; earlier season dimmed). Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±26.0 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Oct 29 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Last 10 games
Game	RUSH YDS	REC YDS	RUSH+REC	REC
Oct 29, 2026at GB	81	38	119	7
Oct 25, 2026vs TB	33	27	60	4
Oct 18, 2026at PHI	120	1	121	1
Oct 4, 2026vs DET	122	7	129	1
Sep 27, 2026at CLE	82	28	110	4
Sep 20, 2026at ATL	53	11	64	2
Sep 13, 2026vs CHI	49	38	87	3
Jan 3, 2026at TB	10	7	17	2
Dec 28, 2025vs SEA	12	6	18	3
Dec 21, 2025vs TB	27	7	34	1
Average · last 10 games	58.9	17	75.9	2.8

Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions

Chuba Hubbard’s last 5 games on one page

How to read this

Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections

26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

90 of 157 within 25 yards

90 of 157 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

For context, Chuba Hubbard has averaged 87.6 yards over his last 5 games and 77.1 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Chuba Hubbard’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (−1.3 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Chuba Hubbard’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

This matchup

The rest of CAR vs DEN

Opponent: DEN
Kickoff: Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: DEN allowed the 31st-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 71.8 yards/game · 31st of 32

Compare prices

Rushing Yards · Chuba Hubbard

Rushing Yards · line 70.5.

1 book has a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.

The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −120.

Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.

Research

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