StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

John Metchie III Projections

CAR · WR · #13
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 5, 12:13 AM
vs DET
Sun, Oct 4, 8:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC
2.3receptions projected vs DET
Season average 1 · Last five 1.8
Updated Oct 4
Typically within 1.6 of the result
Recent receptions
011230ATL2CLEStatIQ projection 2.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ CLE2
Sep 20, 2026@ @ ATL0
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into John Metchie III
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is John Metchie III trending lately?1.8 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: John Metchie III, 2.3 receptions

StatIQ projected John Metchie III for 2.3 receptions against DET in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — this matchup has already been played, so the game log above already carries the actual result.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: John Metchie III has averaged 1.8 over his last 5 games and 1 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 490 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.6 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See John Metchie III’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.6
average projection miss
1.5 within
490 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DET
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 8:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 5, 12:13 AM
Recent form
1.8 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for John Metchie III vs DET?

StatIQ projected John Metchie III for 2.3 receptions against DET in Week 4. That game has already been played, so the game log on the page shows the actual result. The projection is a single number, not a range or a guaranteed outcome.

How has John Metchie III performed in receptions recently?

John Metchie III has averaged 1.8 over his last 5 games and 1 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 490 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.6 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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