Chris Rodriguez Jr. Projections
JAX · RB · #24
This week’s game has kicked off. The result lands in the game log
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 6 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
Recent rushing yards
35.6Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 32.5 in 6 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 5 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH YDS |
|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026at BAL | 19 |
| Nov 1, 2026vs IND | 41 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs HOU | 55 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs PHI | 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026at CIN | 35 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs NE | 37 |
| Sep 20, 2026at DEN | 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs CLE | 23 |
| Jan 4, 2026at PHI | 65 |
| Dec 20, 2025vs PHI | 63 |
| Average · last 10 games | 35.6 |
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections
26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 157 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has averaged 31 yards over his last 5 games, 28.5 yards per game this season (2026), and 19 yards across 1 game against BAL; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 34.6 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Chris Rodriguez Jr.’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line. A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- BAL
- Kickoff
- Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- BAL allowed the 26th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 82.1 yards/game · 26th of 32
- Against BAL
- 19 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample
Compare prices
Rushing Yards · line 32.5.
6 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.
Pre-game prices as of Nov 6, 9:13 AM ET. The game has started, so these are not live.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Chris Rodriguez Jr., answered here:
Your 7-day Founders trial starts as soon as your account is confirmed. No card.
Every tool, every sport, and every pre-tip pick we post when qualifying opportunities exist. Nothing is charged when it ends. Your account goes back to the free tier.