Bhayshul Tuten Projections
JAX · RB · #33
This week’s game has kicked off. The result lands in the game log
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Projections & lines
Average miss 26 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 4 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 50.8 | 60.5 | −9.7 |
| Receiving Yards | 16.8 | 12.5 | +4.3 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 79.0 | 78.5 | +0.5 |
| Receptions | 2.1 | 1.5 | +0.6 |
Recent rushing yards
55.1Average rushing yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 60.5 in 6 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 5 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | RUSH YDS | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026at BAL | 29 | 0 | 29 | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2026vs IND | 104 | 55 | 159 | 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026vs HOU | 39 | 48 | 87 | 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs PHI | 72 | 24 | 96 | 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026at CIN | 73 | 18 | 91 | 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs NE | 73 | 17 | 90 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026at DEN | 65 | -3 | 62 | 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026vs CLE | 66 | 22 | 88 | 1 |
| Jan 4, 2026vs TEN | 23 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| Dec 14, 2025vs NYJ | 7 | 16 | 23 | 1 |
| Average · last 10 games | 55.1 | 19.7 | 74.8 | 1.6 |
Stats and game log: receiving yards · receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL rushing-yard model · 157 graded projections
26 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
90 of 157 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Bhayshul Tuten has averaged 63.4 yards over his last 5 games, 65.1 yards per game this season (2026), and 29 yards across 1 game against BAL; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 72.2 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Bhayshul Tuten’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line. A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 157 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Bhayshul Tuten’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- BAL
- Kickoff
- Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET
- Availability
- Questionable at publish, from the availability check; StatIQ does not show NFL injury reports yet
- Opponent defense
- BAL allowed the 26th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 82.1 yards/game · 26th of 32
- Against BAL
- 29 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample
Compare prices
Rushing Yards · line 60.5.
4 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −118 · Under −110.
Pre-game prices as of Nov 6, 9:13 AM ET. The game has started, so these are not live.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Bhayshul Tuten, answered here:
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