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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Thu 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Thu, Nov 5, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 33.9 | No line yet | – |
| Rushing Yards | 25.2 | No line yet | – |
Recent rush + rec yards
24.3Average rush + rec yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Nov 1
| Game | RUSH+REC | RUSH YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at DAL | 18 | 8 |
| Oct 25, 2026vs DEN | 63 | 48 |
| Oct 18, 2026at LAR | 98 | 80 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs DET | 8 | 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026at NYG | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27, 2026at SF | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs SEA | 24 | 24 |
| Sep 13, 2026at LAC | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 14, 2025at HOU | -2 | -2 |
| Dec 7, 2025vs LAR | 34 | 16 |
| Average · last 10 games | 24.3 | 18.2 |
RUSH YDS: Early projection · no line posted yet
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Bam Knight has averaged 37.4 yards over his last 5 games, 26.4 yards per game this season (2026), and 19 yards across 3 games against SEA; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 42.2 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Bam Knight’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Bam Knight’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- SEA
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- SEA allowed the 28th-most scrimmage yards to RBs in 2025 108.4 yards/game · 28th of 32
- Against SEA
- 19 yards a game 3 previous meetings
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Bam Knight, answered here:
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