Elijah Higgins receiving yards projection vs the line
ARI · TE · #84
Next game at SEA · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 4 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 21.1 | 13.5 | +7.6 |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 1.5 | +0.8 |
Recent receiving yards
17.9Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 13.5 in 6 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026at DAL | 10 | 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026vs DEN | 17 | 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026at LAR | 28 | 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs DET | 57 | 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026at NYG | 19 | 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026at SF | 20 | 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026vs SEA | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13, 2026at LAC | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 4, 2026at LAR | 28 | 3 |
| Dec 28, 2025at CIN | 0 | 0 |
| Average · last 10 games | 17.9 | 1.9 |
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Elijah Higgins has averaged 26.2 yards over his last 5 games, 18.9 yards per game this season (2026), and 6.3 yards across 3 games against SEA; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Elijah Higgins’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+7.6 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Elijah Higgins’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- SEA
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- SEA allowed the 6th-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 63.2 yards/game · 6th of 32
- Against SEA
- 6.3 yards a game 3 previous meetings
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 13.5.
4 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 3:13 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Elijah Higgins, answered here:
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