MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 21

MIA atARI · 9:40 PM ET

Otto LopezMIA · at ARI · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.21

0.5

+0.71

− LossOver 0.5 · -194−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 66.0%

Pavin SmithARI · vs MIA · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.45

0.5

−0.05

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat BetMGM

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 45.5%

Kyle StowersMIA · at ARI · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

1.72

1.5

+0.22

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -117+0.84uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 56.5% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -117 price needs about 54% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 53.9%

SEA atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

Brock RoddenSEA · at LAA · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.42

0.5

−0.08

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -102+0.98uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.5%

Josh LoweLAA · vs SEA · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.42

0.5

−0.08

− LossUnder 0.5 · -104−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 51.0%

SD atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

Fernando Tatis Jr.SD · at COL · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.25

1.5

−0.25

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -115+0.87uat betPARX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 53.5%

Austin HaysSD · at COL · Sep 15 · Final

0.64

1.5

−0.86

− LossUnder 1.5 · -174−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 63.5%

Luis CampusanoSD · at COL · Sep 15 · Final

1.24

1.5

−0.26

− LossUnder 1.5 · -113−1.00uat DraftKings

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 53.1%

Xander BogaertsSD · at COL · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

1.12

1.5

−0.38

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -107+0.93uat DraftKings

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 51.7%

Jake CronenworthSD · at COL · Sep 15 · Final

0.84

1.5

−0.66

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -127+0.79uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 55.9%

Jake McCarthyCOL · vs SD · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.28

1.5

−0.22

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 1.28Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 62.1%

Manny MachadoSD · at COL · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.97

1.5

−0.53

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.97Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 61.4%

Samad TaylorSD · at COL · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.89

0.5

+0.39

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.89Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 62.1%

Brett SullivanCOL · vs SD · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.56

0.5

+0.06

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.56Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 38.5%

Zac VeenCOL · vs SD · Sep 15 · Final

0.46

0.5

−0.04

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.46Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 47.6%

Connor NorbyCOL · vs SD · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

1.35

1.5

−0.15

Did not play · Projection: 1.35Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 60.9%

KC atHOU · 8:10 PM ET

Michael MasseyKC · at HOU · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.07

0.5

+0.57

− LossOver 0.5 · -127−1.00uat Bally Bet

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 55.9%

Taylor TrammellHOU · vs KC · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

0.80

0.5

+0.30

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1000.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 51.8% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.0%

BOS atTEX · 8:05 PM ET

Brandon NimmoTEX · vs BOS · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.12

0.5

+0.62

+ WinOver 0.5 · -160+0.63uat BetMGM

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 61.5%

Adley RutschmanBOS · at TEX · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.79

0.5

+0.29

− LossOver 0.5 · -155−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 60.8%

Elias DiazTEX · vs BOS · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.64

0.5

+0.14

− LossUnder 0.5 · +105−1.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 51.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +105 price needs about 49% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 48.8%

Jahmai JonesBOS · at TEX · Sep 15 · Final

0.38

0.5

−0.12

− LossUnder 0.5 · +150−1.00uat betPARX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 40.0%

Nate EatonBOS · at TEX · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.32

0.5

−0.18

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -115+0.87uat ESPN BET

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 53.5%

Trevor StoryBOS · at TEX · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.19

0.5

+0.69

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 1.19Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 56.5%

SF atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

Thomas SaggeseSTL · vs SF · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.09

0.5

+0.59

+ WinOver 0.5 · -165+0.61uat BetMGM

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 62.3%

Osleivis BasabeSF · at STL · Sep 15 · Final

0.48

0.5

−0.02

− LossUnder 0.5 · +150−1.00uat Fanatics Sportsbook

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 40.0%

Drew GilbertSF · at STL · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

0.92

1.5

−0.58

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -190+0.53uat ESPN BET

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 65.5%

Grant McCraySF · at STL · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

0.79

0.5

+0.29

− LossUnder 0.5 · +100−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 51.7% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.0%

ATL atCHC · 7:40 PM ET

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC · vs ATL · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.11

0.5

+0.61

− LossOver 0.5 · -208−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 67.5%

Pedro RamirezCHC · vs ATL · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.62

0.5

+0.12

− LossUnder 0.5 · +165−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 40.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +165 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 37.7%

Brewer HicklenATL · at CHC · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.53

0.5

+0.03

− LossUnder 0.5 · -102−1.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded -102 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.5%

Matt ShawCHC · vs ATL · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.37

0.5

−0.13

− LossUnder 0.5 · +130−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 43.5%

Tyrone TaylorCHC · vs ATL · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

1.53

1.5

+0.03

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -150+0.67uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 62.8% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -150 price needs about 60% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 60.0%

Miguel AmayaCHC · vs ATL · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.65

0.5

+0.15

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.65Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 44.8%

NYY atMIN · 7:40 PM ET

Kaelen CulpepperMIN · vs NYY · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.88

0.5

+0.38

− LossOver 0.5 · -150−1.00uat Bally Bet

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 60.0%

Ali SanchezNYY · at MIN · Sep 15 · Final

0.23

0.5

−0.27

− LossUnder 0.5 · +100−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.0%

Aaron JudgeNYY · at MIN · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

1.50

1.5

0.00

VoidUnder 1.5 · -1200.00uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 54.5%

Austin MartinMIN · vs NYY · Sep 15 · Final

0.86

0.5

+0.36

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 47.1% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 45.5%

BAL atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

Coby MayoBAL · at NYM · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.84

0.5

+0.34

+ WinOver 0.5 · -138+0.71uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 58.0%

Rece HindsBAL · at NYM · Sep 15 · Final

0.39

0.5

−0.11

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 47.6%

Yohel PozoBAL · at NYM · Sep 15 · Final

0.36

0.5

−0.14

− LossUnder 0.5 · +120−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 45.5%

Jeremiah JacksonBAL · at NYM · Sep 15 · Final

0.32

0.5

−0.18

− LossUnder 0.5 · +125−1.00uat betPARX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 44.4%

Pete AlonsoBAL · at NYM · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

1.62

1.5

+0.12

− LossUnder 1.5 · -118−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 56.1% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -118 price needs about 54% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 54.1%

DET atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

Brett BatemanTOR · vs DET · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.25

0.5

+0.75

+ WinOver 0.5 · -186+0.54uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 65.0%

Nathan LukesTOR · vs DET · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.04

0.5

+0.54

+ WinOver 0.5 · -156+0.64uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 60.9%

Colt KeithDET · at TOR · Sep 15 · Final

0.53

0.5

+0.03

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1000.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.4% chance of zero hits. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.0%

Gleyber TorresDET · at TOR · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

1.33

1.5

−0.17

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -170+0.59uat DraftKings

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 63.0%

Zach McKinstryDET · at TOR · Sep 15 · Final

Total Bases

0.60

0.5

+0.10

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.1% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.0%

Riley GreeneDET · at TOR · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

1.22

0.5

+0.72

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 1.22Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 59.7%

Kazuma OkamotoTOR · vs DET · Sep 15 · Final

Hits

0.98

0.5

+0.48

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.98Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 57.4%

Tuesday · Sep 15

Today

MIA atARI · 9:40 PM ET

SEA atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

SD atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

KC atHOU · 8:10 PM ET

BOS atTEX · 8:05 PM ET

SF atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

ATL atCHC · 7:40 PM ET

NYY atMIN · 7:40 PM ET

BAL atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

DET atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

Tuesday · Sep 15

MIA atARI · 9:40 PM ET

SEA atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

SD atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

KC atHOU · 8:10 PM ET

BOS atTEX · 8:05 PM ET

SF atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

ATL atCHC · 7:40 PM ET

NYY atMIN · 7:40 PM ET

BAL atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

DET atTOR · 7:07 PM ET