MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 21

MIA atARI · 9:40 PM ET

Xavier EdwardsMIA · at ARI · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

1.05

0.5

+0.55

+ WinOver 0.5 · -178+0.55uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 64.0%

Geraldo PerdomoARI · vs MIA · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.84

0.5

+0.34

− LossOver 0.5 · -166−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 62.4%

Lars NootbaarARI · vs MIA · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.81

0.5

+0.31

+ WinOver 0.5 · -176+0.56uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 63.8%

Jordan LawlarARI · vs MIA · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.65

0.5

+0.15

− LossUnder 0.5 · +115−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +115 price needs about 47% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 46.5%

SEA atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

J.P. CrawfordSEA · at LAA · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.95

0.5

+0.45

+ WinOver 0.5 · -141+0.71uat betPARX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 58.5%

Taylor WardSEA · at LAA · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.44

0.5

−0.06

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1250.00uat betPARX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 44.4%

Travis d'ArnaudLAA · vs SEA · Sep 14 · Final

0.37

0.5

−0.13

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.0%

Mike TroutLAA · vs SEA · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.54

1.5

+0.04

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -156+0.64uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 63.1% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -156 price needs about 61% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 60.9%

Oswald PerazaLAA · vs SEA · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

0.66

0.5

+0.16

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1200.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 47.3% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 45.5%

SD atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

Jake McCarthyCOL · vs SD · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

1.24

1.5

−0.26

− LossUnder 1.5 · -174−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 63.5%

Ezequiel TovarCOL · vs SD · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.67

0.5

+0.17

− LossUnder 0.5 · +156−1.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 41.3% chance of zero hits. The recorded +156 price needs about 39% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 39.1%

Kyle KarrosCOL · vs SD · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.23

1.5

−0.27

− LossUnder 1.5 · -150−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 60.0%

Mickey MoniakCOL · vs SD · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.20

1.5

−0.30

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -116+0.86uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 53.7%

Jake CronenworthSD · at COL · Sep 14 · Final

0.84

1.5

−0.66

− LossUnder 1.5 · -119−1.00uat DraftKings

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 54.3%

Ty FranceSD · at COL · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

1.06

1.5

−0.44

Actual: 3 hits · Projection: 1.06Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 64.3%

Dustin HarrisSD · at COL · Sep 14 · Final

0.81

1.5

−0.69

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.81Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 66.1%

Jackson MerrillSD · at COL · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

2.16

1.5

+0.66

Actual: 3 total bases · Projection: 2.16Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 42.0%

Hunter GoodmanCOL · vs SD · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.46

1.5

−0.04

Actual: 5 total bases · Projection: 1.46Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 51.5%

Luis CampusanoSD · at COL · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.25

1.5

−0.25

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 1.25Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 49.3%

SF atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

Masyn WinnSTL · vs SF · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.74

0.5

+0.24

− LossOver 0.5 · -127−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 55.9%

Shay WhitcombSF · at STL · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.56

0.5

+0.06

− LossUnder 0.5 · +150−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 42.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +150 price needs about 40% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 40.0%

Andrew KniznerSF · at STL · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.49

0.5

−0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +127+1.27uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 44.1%

Brett HarrisSF · at STL · Sep 14 · Final

0.00

0.5

−0.50

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +104+1.02uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 49.0%

ATL atCHC · 7:40 PM ET

Michael ConfortoCHC · vs ATL · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.58

0.5

+0.08

− LossUnder 0.5 · +130−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 44.9% chance of zero hits. The recorded +130 price needs about 43% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 43.5%

Drake BaldwinATL · at CHC · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.75

1.5

+0.25

− LossUnder 1.5 · -133−1.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 58.9% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -133 price needs about 57% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 57.1%

Matt OlsonATL · at CHC · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.47

1.5

−0.03

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -125+0.80uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 55.6%

Austin RileyATL · at CHC · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.36

1.5

−0.14

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -150+0.67uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 60.0%

Ha-Seong KimATL · at CHC · Sep 14 · Final

0.54

0.5

+0.04

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 47.3% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 45.5%

Ozzie AlbiesATL · at CHC · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.69

1.5

−0.81

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.69Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 67.5%

NYY atMIN · 7:40 PM ET

Ryan McMahonNYY · at MIN · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.50

0.5

0.00

− LossUnder 0.5 · +128−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 43.9%

Ben RiceNYY · at MIN · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

2.03

1.5

+0.53

− LossUnder 1.5 · -111−1.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 54.4% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -111 price needs about 53% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 52.6%

Brooks LeeMIN · vs NYY · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.56

1.5

+0.06

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -146+0.67uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 61.7% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -146 price needs about 59% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 59.3%

Walker JenkinsMIN · vs NYY · Sep 14 · Final

0.64

0.5

+0.14

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.2% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 47.6%

Ryan KreidlerMIN · vs NYY · Sep 14 · Final

0.58

0.5

+0.08

− LossUnder 0.5 · -112−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 54.9% chance of zero total bases. The recorded -112 price needs about 53% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 52.8%

Victor CaratiniMIN · vs NYY · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.51

0.5

+0.01

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.51Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 41.7%

Austin WellsNYY · at MIN · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.48

0.5

−0.02

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.48Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 49.0%

BAL atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

Pete AlonsoBAL · at NYM · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.92

0.5

+0.42

− LossOver 0.5 · -160−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 61.5%

Gunnar HendersonBAL · at NYM · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.87

0.5

+0.37

+ WinOver 0.5 · -156+0.64uat Novig

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 60.9%

Carlos NarvaezBAL · at NYM · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.34

0.5

−0.16

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -130+0.77uat ESPN BET

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 56.5%

Colton CowserBAL · at NYM · Sep 14 · Final

0.78

0.5

+0.28

− LossUnder 0.5 · +100−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.0% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.0%

DET atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

Andres GimenezTOR · vs DET · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.83

0.5

+0.33

+ WinOver 0.5 · -134+0.73uat ProphetX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 57.3%

Brett CallahanDET · at TOR · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.45

0.5

−0.05

− LossUnder 0.5 · +100−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 50.0%

Zach McKinstryDET · at TOR · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.45

0.5

−0.05

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 47.6%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR · vs DET · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.67

1.5

+0.17

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -138+0.72uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 60.0% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -138 price needs about 58% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 58.0%

LAD atCIN · 6:40 PM ET

Hector RodriguezCIN · vs LAD · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.94

0.5

+0.44

− LossOver 0.5 · +118−1.00uat BetRivers

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 45.9%

Miguel RojasLAD · at CIN · Sep 14 · Final

0.51

0.5

+0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +140+1.40uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 43.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +140 price needs about 42% to break even.

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 41.7%

Ke'Bryan HayesCIN · vs LAD · Sep 14 · Final

0.35

0.5

−0.15

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -108+0.93uat betPARX

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 51.9%

Alex CallLAD at CIN · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.34

0.5

−0.16

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1100.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 47.6%

Max MuncyLAD at CIN · Sep 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.33

1.5

−0.17

VoidUnder 1.5 · -1400.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 58.3%

Eugenio SuarezCIN · vs LAD · Sep 14 · Final

Hits

0.82

0.5

+0.32

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.82Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

Loading recent games…

: 46.5%

Monday · Sep 14

Today

MIA atARI · 9:40 PM ET

SEA atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

SD atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

SF atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

ATL atCHC · 7:40 PM ET

NYY atMIN · 7:40 PM ET

BAL atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

DET atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

LAD atCIN · 6:40 PM ET

Monday · Sep 14

MIA atARI · 9:40 PM ET

SEA atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

SD atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

SF atSTL · 7:45 PM ET

ATL atCHC · 7:40 PM ET

NYY atMIN · 7:40 PM ET

BAL atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

DET atTOR · 7:07 PM ET

LAD atCIN · 6:40 PM ET