MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 22

CHC atSEA · 10:10 PM ET

Michael ConfortoCHC · at SEA · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.44

0.5

−0.06

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Cal RaleighSEA · vs CHC · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.42

0.5

−0.08

− LossUnder 0.5 · +120−1.00uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Taylor WardSEA · vs CHC · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

0.90

0.5

+0.40

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +156+1.56uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 41.6% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +156 price needs about 39% to break even.

Actual results

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: 39.1%

PIT atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

Hunter FeducciaLAD · vs PIT · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.49

0.5

−0.01

− LossUnder 0.5 · -110−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 52.4%

Jared TrioloPIT · at LAD · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

0.79

0.5

+0.29

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 51.7% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Henry DavisPIT · at LAD · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

0.61

0.5

+0.11

VoidUnder 0.5 · -1200.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 56.6% chance of zero total bases. The recorded -120 price needs about 55% to break even.

Actual results

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: 54.5%

CIN atARI · 9:40 PM ET

Matt McLainCIN · at ARI · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.74

0.5

+0.24

− LossOver 0.5 · -121−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 54.8%

Tyler StephensonCIN · at ARI · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.58

0.5

+0.08

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1600.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 39.8% chance of zero hits. The recorded +160 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

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: 38.5%

Ke'Bryan HayesCIN · at ARI · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.39

0.5

−0.11

− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Michael TogliaCIN at ARI · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.33

0.5

−0.17

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 47.6%

MIN atSD · 9:40 PM ET

Jake CronenworthSD · vs MIN · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.95

0.5

+0.45

− LossOver 0.5 · -118−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 54.1%

CLE atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

TJ RumfieldCOL · vs CLE · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.98

0.5

+0.48

− LossOver 0.5 · -194−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 66.0%

Braxton FulfordCOL · vs CLE · Aug 21 · Final

0.24

0.5

−0.26

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Nathaniel LoweCLE · at COL · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

1.66

1.5

+0.16

− LossUnder 1.5 · +102−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 51.6% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded +102 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

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: 49.5%

Brayan RocchioCLE · at COL · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

1.08

1.5

−0.42

VoidUnder 1.5 · -1230.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 55.2%

Patrick BaileyCLE · at COL · Aug 21 · Final

0.73

1.5

−0.77

− LossUnder 1.5 · -146−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 59.3%

Mickey MoniakCOL · vs CLE · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.81

0.5

+0.31

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.81Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 61.5%

Petey HalpinCLE · at COL · Aug 21 · Final

0.64

0.5

+0.14

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.64Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 37.0%

Connor NorbyCOL · vs CLE · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.62

0.5

+0.12

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.62Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 38.5%

Jo AdellCLE · at COL · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

1.53

1.5

+0.03

Actual: 2 total bases · Projection: 1.53Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 48.3%

Kyle KarrosCOL · vs CLE · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

1.31

1.5

−0.19

Actual: 1 total bases · Projection: 1.31Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 58.3%

Steven KwanCLE · at COL · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

1.29

1.5

−0.21

Actual: 1 total bases · Projection: 1.29Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Jose RamirezCLE · at COL · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

1.12

1.5

−0.38

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 1.12Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 46.9%

Travis BazzanaCLE · at COL · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

1.02

1.5

−0.48

Actual: 4 total bases · Projection: 1.02Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 53.5%

LAA atTEX · 8:15 PM ET

Cody FreemanTEX · vs LAA · Aug 21 · Final

0.58

0.5

+0.08

− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Justin FoscueTEX · vs LAA · Aug 21 · Final

0.55

0.5

+0.05

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat DraftKings

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Elias DiazTEX · vs LAA · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.51

0.5

+0.01

− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.7% chance of zero hits. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Evan CarterTEX · vs LAA · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.46

0.5

−0.04

− LossUnder 0.5 · -106−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 51.5%

Moises BallesterosLAA · at TEX · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

0.73

0.5

+0.23

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.08uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.6% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Oswald PerazaLAA · at TEX · Aug 21 · Final

0.38

0.5

−0.12

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.38Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 50.0%

ATH atHOU · 8:10 PM ET

Yordan AlvarezHOU · vs ATH · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.94

1.5

−0.56

− LossUnder 1.5 · -205−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 67.2%

Tommy WhiteATH · at HOU · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.83

0.5

+0.33

− LossOver 0.5 · -141−1.00uat Bally Bet

Actual results

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: 58.5%

Yainer DiazHOU · vs ATH · Aug 21 · Final

0.68

0.5

+0.18

− LossUnder 0.5 · +192−1.00uat DraftKings

Why Under? Our model estimates a 36.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded +192 price needs about 34% to break even.

Actual results

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: 34.2%

Raynel DelgadoHOU · vs ATH · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.44

0.5

−0.06

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +130+1.30uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 43.5%

Daulton VarshoHOU · vs ATH · Aug 21 · Final

Total Bases

0.92

1.5

−0.58

− LossUnder 1.5 · -146−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 59.3%

Jose AltuveHOU · vs ATH · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

1.10

0.5

+0.60

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 1.10Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 63.6%

DET atKC · 8:10 PM ET

Jac CaglianoneKC · vs DET · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

1.44

0.5

+0.94

− LossOver 0.5 · -196−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 66.2%

Eduardo ValenciaDET · at KC · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

1.04

0.5

+0.54

− LossOver 0.5 · -174−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 63.5%

Hao-Yu LeeDET · at KC · Aug 21 · Final

0.60

0.5

+0.10

− LossUnder 0.5 · +160−1.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 40.4% chance of zero hits. The recorded +160 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

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: 38.5%

Carter JensenKC · vs DET · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.55

0.5

+0.05

− LossUnder 0.5 · +150−1.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 42.4% chance of zero hits. The recorded +150 price needs about 40% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.0%

Ben MalgeriDET · at KC · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.47

0.5

−0.03

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +160+1.60uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 38.5%

NYM atCWS · 7:40 PM ET

Jared YoungNYM · at CWS · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

1.03

0.5

+0.53

+ WinOver 0.5 · -115+0.87uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 53.5%

Luis Robert Jr.NYM at CWS · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.77

0.5

+0.27

+ WinOver 0.5 · -121+0.83uat BetRivers

Actual results

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: 54.8%

Brenton DoyleCWS · vs NYM · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.49

0.5

−0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +140+1.40uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 41.7%

Brett BatyNYM · at CWS · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.46

0.5

−0.04

− LossUnder 0.5 · -103−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 50.7%

Jake RogersCWS · vs NYM · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.38

0.5

−0.12

− LossUnder 0.5 · -115−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 53.5%

Carson BengeNYM · at CWS · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

1.13

0.5

+0.63

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 1.13Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 61.4%

A.J. EwingNYM · at CWS · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

0.76

0.5

+0.26

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.76Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 58.8%

TB atBAL · 7:15 PM ET

Chandler SimpsonTB · at BAL · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

1.46

0.5

+0.96

+ WinOver 0.5 · -186+0.54uat BetRivers

Actual results

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: 65.0%

Jonathan ArandaTB · at BAL · Aug 21 · Final

Hits

1.11

0.5

+0.61

− LossOver 0.5 · -162−1.00uat BetRivers

Actual results

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: 61.8%

Friday · Aug 21

Today

CHC atSEA · 10:10 PM ET

PIT atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

CIN atARI · 9:40 PM ET

MIN atSD · 9:40 PM ET

CLE atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

LAA atTEX · 8:15 PM ET

ATH atHOU · 8:10 PM ET

DET atKC · 8:10 PM ET

NYM atCWS · 7:40 PM ET

TB atBAL · 7:15 PM ET

Friday · Aug 21

CHC atSEA · 10:10 PM ET

PIT atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

CIN atARI · 9:40 PM ET

MIN atSD · 9:40 PM ET

CLE atCOL · 8:40 PM ET

LAA atTEX · 8:15 PM ET

ATH atHOU · 8:10 PM ET

DET atKC · 8:10 PM ET

NYM atCWS · 7:40 PM ET

TB atBAL · 7:15 PM ET