What does StatIQ project for Jonathan Aranda?

StatIQ shows current MLB projections for Jonathan Aranda in Hits, Home Runs, RBIs, and Total Bases, each with the player's recent form, season stats and the full game log so you can weigh the number yourself. Projections are model estimates, not guarantees.

Does StatIQ show a track record for Jonathan Aranda?

Yes. Every graded MLB projection StatIQ logs is public (wins and losses alike) and the page shows how close StatIQ has landed for Jonathan Aranda. No edge or profit is claimed.

Jonathan Aranda Prop Projections

Tampa Bay Rays · 1B · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

4 markets

Hits Home Runs RBIs Total Bases

Hits

Oct 16

Projection only

0.85Projection · hits

0.5Line

+0.35Gap

Compare prices

No pick logged for Jonathan Aranda on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Hits	0.85	0.50	+0.35
Home Runs	0.18	0.50	−0.32
RBIs	0.48	0.50	−0.02
Total Bases	1.61	0.50	+1.11

Recent games

actual results · log current through Oct 15 · includes postseason · via ESPN

0.60Average hits, last 10 (10 games)Over 0.50 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds

Sep 23

Sep 25

Sep 26

Sep 27

Oct 3

Oct 5

Oct 7

Oct 12

Oct 13

Oct 15

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 15 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log

Jonathan Aranda game log
Date	Opponent	Hits	Projection	Result vs projection
Oct 15	@ CLE · Postseason	0	0.85	−0.85
Oct 13	vs CLE · Postseason	0	–	–
Oct 12	vs CLE · Postseason	0	–	–
Oct 7	@ NYY · Postseason	1	–	–
Oct 5	vs NYY · Postseason	2	–	–
Oct 3	vs NYY · Postseason	1	–	–
Sep 27	@ PHI	1	–	–
Sep 26	@ PHI	0	–	–
Sep 25	@ PHI	1	–	–
Sep 23	@ NYY	0	–	–

Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN

Jonathan Aranda full game log, last 20 games
Date	Opp	Result	AB	R	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	HBP	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Oct 15	@ CLE	L 3-2	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	.182	.250	.318	.568
Oct 13	vs CLE	W 3-1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	.222	.300	.389	.689
Oct 12	vs CLE	L 7-3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.267	.313	.467	.779
Oct 7	@ NYY	W 4-3	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	.333	.385	.583	.968
Oct 5	vs NYY	W 5-2	5	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.333	.333	.667	1.000
Oct 3	vs NYY	W 1-0	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	.250	.250	1.000	1.250
Sep 27	@ PHI	L 7-3	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	.274	.358	.434	.792
Sep 26	@ PHI	W 12-1	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	.273	.357	.433	.790
Sep 25	@ PHI	W 2-0	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	.275	.358	.436	.793
Sep 23	@ NYY	L 9-2	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	.275	.357	.436	.793
Sep 22	@ NYY	W 6-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.277	.359	.439	.798
Sep 22	@ NYY	L 2-0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.277	.359	.440	.799
Sep 19	vs BOS	W 2-1	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	.277	.360	.440	.800
Sep 18	vs BOS	L 4-2	5	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	.277	.360	.436	.797
Sep 17	vs ATH	W 10-1	4	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	.278	.362	.437	.798
Sep 15	vs ATH	W 2-1	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.278	.361	.436	.798
Sep 13	vs HOU	W 14-4	4	2	2	0	2	3	1	0	2	.278	.362	.438	.800
Sep 12	vs HOU	W 3-2	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	.277	.360	.426	.786
Sep 11	vs HOU	W 3-1	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	.276	.359	.427	.786
Sep 10	@ ATL	L 3-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.277	.360	.426	.786

Context

Next game: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Hits · Jonathan Aranda

Hits · line 0.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet	−177	–
betPARX	−177	+128
BetRivers	−177	–
DraftKings	−162	+122
ESPN BET	−165	+130
Hard Rock Bet	−170	+125
Novig	−156Best	+138Best
ProphetX	−162	+138Best
Shown, never used as our price
BetOnline	−169	+130
Dabble	−169	+171
Fliff	−185	+115

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Kalshi Over: 65¢ with the trading fee included (ask 64¢) · Oct 15, 4:20 PM ET. An exchange contract, priced per $1 payout.

Prices as of Oct 16, 6:03 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Offshore. Offshore and unlicensed in the US. It has paid reliably for over two decades and often has the better number, but no US regulator can make it pay you, and its rules let it void bets it decides were priced in error, which is exactly the kind of bet we surface.

Pick'em. Pick'em entry, not a single bet. Its per-leg price is not shoppable against a sportsbook's.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Jonathan Aranda

Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, Home Runs and RBIs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.

Jonathan Aranda: projection accuracy by market
Market	Graded	Average miss	Landed within
Hits	10	–	–
Total Bases	4	–	–

Neither column is a range for the next game.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection: StatIQ’s number for Jonathan Aranda’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line: The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap: Projection minus the line (+0.35 for hits). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual: Jonathan Aranda’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

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