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Detail

Steven Kwan Prop Projections

Cleveland Guardians · LF · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Total Bases

Oct 16

Projection only
1.54Projection · total bases
1.5Line · ESPN BET
+0.04Gap
Compare prices

No pick logged for Steven Kwan on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Total Bases1.541.50+0.04
Hits1.200.50+0.70
Home Runs0.050.50−0.45
RBIs0.280.50−0.22

Recent games

1.20Average total bases, last 10 (10 games)Under 1.50 in 8 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 15 · ● landed under · ○ did not

Full game log
Steven Kwan game log
DateOpponentTotal Bases
Oct 15vs TB · Postseason0
Oct 13@ TB · Postseason2
Oct 12@ TB · Postseason1
Oct 10vs CHW · Postseason1
Oct 8@ CHW · Postseason1
Oct 7@ CHW · Postseason1
Oct 5vs CHW · Postseason1
Oct 3vs CHW · Postseason0
Sep 26@ KC5
Sep 25@ KC0
Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN
Steven Kwan full game log, last 20 games
DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Oct 15vs TBW 3-2400000000100.212.297.212.509
Oct 13@ TBL 3-1502000000000.241.333.241.575
Oct 12@ TBW 7-3501000000100.208.321.208.530
Oct 10vs CHWW 2-0311000010100.211.348.211.558
Oct 8@ CHWW 9-5321000020000.188.316.188.503
Oct 7@ CHWW 9-3611000100100.154.214.154.368
Oct 5vs CHWL 4-3411000000000.143.250.143.393
Oct 3vs CHWL 3-0300000010000.000.250.000.250
Sep 26@ KCW 11-5403010110000.282.382.349.731
Sep 25@ KCW 12-9320000020000.280.379.344.723
Sep 24@ BOSW 1-0300000010000.280.378.344.722
Sep 23@ BOSL 1-0402000000000.282.379.346.725
Sep 22@ BOSW 3-2401000010200.280.378.345.723
Sep 20vs ATHW 1-0403000000000.280.378.345.724
Sep 19vs ATHW 12-6512000100000.277.376.342.718
Sep 18vs ATHW 5-3300000020100.275.376.342.717
Sep 16vs CHWW 6-3310000010000.277.375.344.719
Sep 15vs CHWW 7-6311000010000.279.376.346.722
Sep 14vs CHWL 7-3301000010000.278.375.346.721
Sep 13@ MINW 9-2423101210000.278.375.346.721

Context

Next game
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

Compare prices

Total Bases · line 1.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

BookOver 1.5Under 1.5
BetMGM+155−210
Caesars+164−225
DraftKings+155−208
ESPN BET+160−200Best
Hard Rock Bet+165−225
Novig+174−233
ProphetX+182Best−240
Shown, never used as our price
BetOnline+167−222
Bovada+155−210
ReBet+151−224

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 8:05 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Offshore. Offshore and unlicensed in the US. It has paid reliably for over two decades and often has the better number, but no US regulator can make it pay you, and its rules let it void bets it decides were priced in error, which is exactly the kind of bet we surface.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Steven Kwan

Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, Home Runs and RBIs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.

Steven Kwan: projection accuracy by market
MarketGradedAverage missLanded within
Hits10––
Total Bases3––

Neither column is a range for the next game.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection
StatIQ’s number for Steven Kwan’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line
The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap
Projection minus the line (+0.04 for total bases). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual
Steven Kwan’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

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