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Projections & lines
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted · Updated Wed 5:14 PM ET
Early projection, no line yet; lines usually post midweek. Model v9 · generated Wed, Nov 4, 5:14 PM ET.
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 11.9 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 1.0 | No line yet | – |
Recent receiving yards
6.7Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)
Current through Jan 4
| Game | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026at LAR | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 28, 2025at CIN | 24 | 2 |
| Dec 21, 2025vs ATL | 19 | 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025at TB | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 23, 2025vs JAX | 9 | 1 |
| Nov 16, 2025vs SF | 15 | 2 |
| Nov 3, 2025at DAL | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 19, 2025vs GB | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 25, 2025vs SEA | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 7, 2025at NO | 0 | 0 |
| Average · last 10 games | 6.7 | 0.7 |
REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · Players projected before a line posted
Not yet measured for players projected before a line posted. This number was projected before the market posted a line, so it is measured as its own group once those games are graded, never folded into the figures for projections that had a posted line.
How this is calculated
For context, Xavier Weaver has averaged 10.4 yards over his last 5 games and 0 yards across 1 game against SEA; the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Jan 4, 2026): 13.4 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Xavier Weaver’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Actual
- Xavier Weaver’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- SEA
- Kickoff
- Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- SEA allowed the 31st-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 110.8 yards/game · 31st of 32
- Against SEA
- 0 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Xavier Weaver, answered here:
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