StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Sterling Shepard Projections

NYJ · WR · #15
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 4, 2:13 PM
vs CHI
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
20.3receiving yards projected vs CHI
Season average 3 · Last five 15.8
Updated Oct 4
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
061117233DETStatIQ projection 20.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ DET3
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Sterling Shepard
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Sterling Shepard trending lately?15.8 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Sterling Shepard, 20.3 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Sterling Shepard for 20.3 receiving yards against CHI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Sterling Shepard has averaged 15.8 yards over his last 5 games and 3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 487 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Sterling Shepard’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
487 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CHI
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 4, 2:13 PM
Recent form
15.8 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Sterling Shepard vs CHI?

StatIQ projects Sterling Shepard for 20.3 yards receiving yards against CHI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Sterling Shepard performed in receiving yards recently?

Sterling Shepard has averaged 15.8 yards over his last 5 games and 3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 487 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CHI vs NYJ
the whole game
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