StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Michael Penix Jr. Projections

ATL · QB · #9
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 3, 2:13 AM
vs NO
Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS TDPASS YDS
1.2passing touchdowns projected vs NO
Season average 1 · Last five 1.2
Updated Oct 2
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
001111GBStatIQ projection 1.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 25, 2026@ @ GB1
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Michael Penix Jr.
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Michael Penix Jr. trending lately?1.2 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Michael Penix Jr., 1.2 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Michael Penix Jr. for 1.2 passing touchdowns against NO in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Michael Penix Jr. has averaged 1.2 over his last 5 games and 1 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Michael Penix Jr.’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NO
Kickoff
Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 3, 2:13 AM
Recent form
1.2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Michael Penix Jr. vs NO?

StatIQ projects Michael Penix Jr. for 1.2 passing touchdowns against NO in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Michael Penix Jr. performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Michael Penix Jr. has averaged 1.2 over his last 5 games and 1 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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