StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Matthew Stafford Projections

LA · QB · #9
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs PHI
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS TDPASS YDS
1.4passing touchdowns projected vs PHI
Season average 2 · Last five 2.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
012340SF4NYG2DENStatIQ projection 1.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 28, 2026@ @ DEN2
Sep 22, 2026vs vs NYG4
Sep 11, 2026vs vs SF0
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Matthew Stafford
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Matthew Stafford done against PHI?2 per game1 game vs PHIExplore this question

Projection context: Matthew Stafford, 1.4 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Matthew Stafford for 1.4 passing touchdowns against PHI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Matthew Stafford has averaged 2.4 over his last 5 games, 2 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 1 game against PHI. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Matthew Stafford’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
PHI
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
2.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Matthew Stafford vs PHI?

StatIQ projects Matthew Stafford for 1.4 passing touchdowns against PHI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Matthew Stafford performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Matthew Stafford has averaged 2.4 over his last 5 games, 2 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 1 game against PHI. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of LA vs PHI
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