Malik Washington receiving yards projection vs the line
MIA · WR · #6
Next game vs DET · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 7 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 43.8 | 41.5 | +2.3 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 53.0 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 4.3 | 4.5 | −0.2 |
Recent receiving yards
36.2Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 41.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs NE | 40 | 40 | 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026at NYJ | 27 | 35 | 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs CIN | 43 | 61 | 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026at MIN | 67 | 70 | 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs KC | 56 | 61 | 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026at SF | 43 | 47 | 4 |
| Sep 13, 2026at LV | 53 | 53 | 3 |
| Jan 4, 2026at NE | 6 | 28 | 3 |
| Dec 28, 2025vs TB | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Dec 21, 2025vs CIN | 23 | 32 | 1 |
| Average · last 10 games | 36.2 | 43.2 | 3.6 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Malik Washington has averaged 46.6 yards over his last 5 games and 47 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Malik Washington’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+2.3 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Malik Washington’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- DET
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- DET allowed the 8th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 155.5 yards/game · 8th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 41.5.
7 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −114 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Malik Washington, answered here:
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