Caleb Douglas receiving yards projection vs the line
MIA · WR · #7
Next game vs DET · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
More
Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 5 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 46.5 | 40.5 | +6.0 |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
Recent receiving yards
56.5Average receiving yards, last 4 (4 games)Over 40.5 in 3 of 4 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs NE | 43 | 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026at NYJ | 70 | 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026at SF | 19 | 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026at LV | 94 | 5 |
| Average · last 4 games | 56.5 | 3.3 |
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Caleb Douglas has averaged 56.5 yards over his last 4 games and 56.5 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Caleb Douglas’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+6.0 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Caleb Douglas’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- DET
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- DET allowed the 8th-most receiving yards to WRs in 2025 155.5 yards/game · 8th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 40.5.
5 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −110 · Under −120.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Caleb Douglas, answered here:
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