Greg Dulcich receiving yards projection vs the line
MIA · TE · #85
Next game vs DET · Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
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Projections & lines
Average miss 21.8 yards · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections · Updated Nov 6
Compare prices · 3 books quotedMeasured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 44.9 | 38.5 | +6.4 |
| Rush + Rec Yards | 41.6 | No line yet | – |
| Receptions | 3.8 | 3.5 | +0.3 |
Recent receiving yards
39.1Average receiving yards, last 10 (10 games)Over 38.5 in 5 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Nov 1 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Game | REC YDS | RUSH+REC | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026vs NE | 43 | 43 | 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026at NYJ | 86 | 86 | 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026vs CIN | 37 | 37 | 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026at MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27, 2026vs KC | 55 | 55 | 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026at SF | 17 | 17 | 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026at LV | 18 | 18 | 2 |
| Jan 4, 2026at NE | 31 | 31 | 3 |
| Dec 28, 2025vs TB | 58 | 51 | 5 |
| Dec 21, 2025vs CIN | 46 | 46 | 3 |
| Average · last 10 games | 39.1 | 38.4 | 3.3 |
RUSH+REC: Early projection · no line posted yet
Stats and game log: receptions
How to read this
Model accuracy · NFL receiving-yard model · 481 graded projections
21.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
326 of 481 within 25 yards
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
For context, Greg Dulcich has averaged 44.2 yards over his last 5 games and 36.6 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Nov 1, 2026): 47.6 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Greg Dulcich’s receiving yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+6.4 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our receiving yards projection and the actual result, over 481 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Greg Dulcich’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
This matchup
- Opponent
- DET
- Kickoff
- Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- DET allowed the 16th-most receiving yards to TEs in 2025 54.8 yards/game · 16th of 32
Compare prices
Receiving Yards · line 38.5.
3 books have a price on this market. Members see each book’s price side by side, with the best price on each side marked.
The middle price across books: Over −115 · Under −115.
Prices as of Nov 6, 2:12 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Greg Dulcich, answered here:
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