| Date | Opponent | PASS TD |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ @ DET | 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs vs GB | 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ @ TEN | 0 |
StatIQ projects Geno Smith for 1.1 passing touchdowns against CHI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.
What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Geno Smith has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games, 1.3 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 1 game against CHI. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.
StatIQ projects Geno Smith for 1.1 passing touchdowns against CHI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Geno Smith has averaged 1.4 over his last 5 games, 1.3 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 1 game against CHI. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.