StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

David Montgomery Projections

HOU · RB · #32
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DAL
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
57.4rush + rec yards projected vs DAL
Season average 50.3 · Last five 49.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 28.8 yards of the result
Recent rush + rec yards
02244668879BUF24CIN48INDStatIQ projection 57.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH+REC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ IND48
Sep 20, 2026vs vs CIN24
Sep 13, 2026vs vs BUF79
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into David Montgomery
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has David Montgomery done against DAL?73 yards per game1 game vs DALExplore this question

Projection context: David Montgomery, 57.4 rush + rec yards

StatIQ projects David Montgomery for 57.4 rush + rec yards against DAL in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: David Montgomery has averaged 49.2 yards over his last 5 games, 50.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 73 yards across 1 game against DAL. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See David Montgomery’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rush + Rec Yards track record
28.8yards
average projection miss
184 completed rush + rec yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DAL
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
49.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for David Montgomery vs DAL?

StatIQ projects David Montgomery for 57.4 yards rush + rec yards against DAL in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has David Montgomery performed in rush + rec yards recently?

David Montgomery has averaged 49.2 yards over his last 5 games, 50.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 73 yards across 1 game against DAL. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DAL vs HOU
the whole game
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