StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Chase Brown Projections

CIN · RB · #30
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs JAX
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
87rush + rec yards projected vs JAX
Season average 76.3 · Last five 92
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 28.8 yards of the result
Recent rush + rec yards
02449739778TB82HOU69PITStatIQ projection 87
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH+REC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ PIT69
Sep 20, 2026@ @ HOU82
Sep 13, 2026vs vs TB78
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Chase Brown
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Chase Brown done against JAX?65 yards per game1 game vs JAXExplore this question

Projection context: Chase Brown, 87 rush + rec yards

StatIQ projects Chase Brown for 87 rush + rec yards against JAX in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Chase Brown has averaged 92 yards over his last 5 games, 76.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 65 yards across 1 game against JAX. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Chase Brown’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rush + Rec Yards track record
28.8yards
average projection miss
184 completed rush + rec yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
JAX
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
92 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Chase Brown vs JAX?

StatIQ projects Chase Brown for 87 yards rush + rec yards against JAX in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Chase Brown performed in rush + rec yards recently?

Chase Brown has averaged 92 yards over his last 5 games, 76.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 65 yards across 1 game against JAX. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CIN vs JAX
the whole game
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