Rush + Rec Yards · Week 6
Projection only
30.8Projection · rush + rec yards
31.5Line · consensus
−0.7Gap
Average · last 4 games 33.8
Average miss 27.1 yards · NFL rush + rec yards model · 80 graded projections · Updated Oct 19
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Projections & lines
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 30.8 | 31.5 | −0.7 |
| Receiving Yards | 18.8 | 7.5 | +11.3 |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.5 | +0.2 |
Recent rush + rec yards
33.8Average rush + rec yards, last 4 (4 games)Over 31.5 in 2 of 4 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 11 · ● landed over · ○ did not
Full game log
| Date | Opponent | RUSH+REC |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vs NYG | 14 |
| Oct 4 | vs IND | 40 |
| Sep 11 | @ GB · 2025 | 24 |
| Sep 7 | vs NYG · 2025 | 57 |
This matchup
- Opponent
- SF
- Kickoff
- Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET
- Availability
- Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
- Opponent defense
- SF allowed the 14th-most scrimmage yards to RBs in 2025 128.8 yards/game · 14th of 32
Compare prices
Rush + Rec Yards · line 31.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.
| Book | Over 31.5 | Under 31.5 |
|---|---|---|
| CourtsideOct 19, 10:10 AM ET | −113Best | −112Best |
| DraftKingsOct 19, 10:10 AM ET | −113Best | −112Best |
Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.
Prices as of Oct 19, 10:10 AM ET.
Research
Questions to ask Explorer about Austin Ekeler, answered here:
Model accuracy
NFL rush + rec yards model · 80 graded projections
27.1 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)
Neither number is a range for this game.
How this is calculated
StatIQ projects Austin Ekeler for 30.8 rush + rec yards against SF in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Austin Ekeler has averaged 33.8 yards over his last 4 games and 27 yards per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
The model read its recent form from its own window (model window · last 5 through Oct 11, 2026): 33.4 yards. The chart’s averages are the games shown, so the two can differ.
- Projection
- StatIQ’s single number for Austin Ekeler’s rush + rec yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (−0.7 here). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average miss is the average distance between our rush + rec yards projection and the actual result, over 80 completed projections across all players this season.
- Actual
- Austin Ekeler’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Austin Ekeler vs SF?
StatIQ projects Austin Ekeler for 30.8 yards rush + rec yards against SF in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
How has Austin Ekeler performed in rush + rec yards recently?
Austin Ekeler has averaged 33.8 yards over his last 4 games and 27 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.
How many rush + rec yards did Austin Ekeler have in his last game?
Austin Ekeler had 14 yards rush + rec yards in his most recent game vs NYG. The full game log on the page has the rest.
How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?
Across 80 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 27.1 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.
Next
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