StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Sean Manaea

New York Mets · RP · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Outs Recorded cleared the under 15.5 — pick a split:

1/1010% cleared underavg 17.7
09-15vs BAL16
09-08@ MIA15
09-01@ TB17
08-27vs MIL17
08-21@ CHW18
08-15vs WSH19
08-09@ PIT21
08-04@ CLE18
07-29vs ATL18
07-24vs LAD18

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Outs Recorded15.3 we project
Strikeouts4.0 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

No graded projections yet.

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultIPHRERHRBBKGBFBPTBFGSCDecRelERA
09-15vs BALL 7-5 F/115.142220676671958.0--4.74
09-08@ MIAW 7-55.0544004511612045.0W(5-7)-4.79
09-01@ TBL 6-25.211551121214862928.0L(4-7)-4.70
08-27vs MILL 8-25.2866113148952731.0L(4-6)-4.55
08-21@ CHWL 6-46.0544324415932548.0--4.31
08-15vs WSHW 5-46.1644227611932750.0--4.22
08-09@ PITW 11-17.0311101149912578.0W(4-5)-4.13
08-04@ CLEW 6-26.07220575101002852.0W(3-5)-4.33
07-29vs ATLW 3-26.052212489892456.0--4.42
07-24vs LADL 4-26.0611023613842457.0--4.52
07-18@ PHIL 6-14.274422768992439.0L(2-5)-4.74
07-09vs KCW 7-37.0632216811972660.0W(2-4)-4.56
07-05@ ATLL 14-35.05632147101082442.0L(1-4)-4.76
06-29@ TORL 2-15.232202488902357.0L(1-3)-4.71
06-24vs CHCL 10-53.064302467861935.0--4.87
06-18@ PHIW 6-45.163201588952350.0--4.64
06-13vs ATLL 3-16.042210679842262.0L(1-2)-4.78
06-07@ SDW 7-34.04221134866160.0W(1-1)-5.02
06-02@ SEAL 3-2 F/105.01111145663160.0--5.08
05-26vs CINL 7-23.03110262468140.0--5.56