StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Brett Baty

New York Mets · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits14±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-20Hits0.81−0.2
09-19Hits0.82−1.3
09-09Hits0.81−0.2
09-05Hits0.71−0.3
09-02Hits0.71−0.3
08-29Hits0.62−1.4
08-23Hits0.60+0.6
08-22Hits0.61−0.4
08-21Hits0.52−1.5
08-12Hits0.60+0.6

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs PHIL 7-2101000100000.235.309.365.675
09-19vs PHIW 10-3322000110100.233.308.364.672
09-18vs PHIW 6-3301000010100.229.304.362.665
09-17vs PHIL 3-0100000020100.229.302.362.664
09-16vs BALL 7-1401000000100.229.300.363.662
09-15vs BALL 7-5 F/11201000000000.229.300.364.664
09-14vs BALL 2-1300000010100.228.299.363.662
09-13@ NYYL 2-0301100000000.229.300.366.666
09-09@ MIAW 15-14101000100000.229.299.364.663
09-08@ MIAW 7-5311001200000.227.298.362.660
09-07@ MIAW 9-4411100010100.226.298.354.652
09-06vs SFW 4-2111001100000.225.297.353.650
09-05vs SFL 9-5301100310000.223.295.343.638
09-02@ TBW 10-4201100300000.223.293.340.634
09-01@ TBL 6-2200000000100.221.292.337.629
08-30vs HOUL 6-3100000000100.222.294.339.632
08-29vs HOUW 6-2302100000100.223.294.340.634
08-28vs HOUL 3-1300000000200.219.292.334.626
08-27vs MILL 8-2300000000100.221.294.337.631
08-26vs MILL 8-1312000010000.223.296.340.636