StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Carson Benge

New York Mets · RF · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1.3
09-20vs PHI1
09-19vs PHI3
09-18vs PHI2
09-17vs PHI1
09-16vs BAL0
09-15vs BAL1
09-14vs BAL2
09-13@ NYY0
09-12@ NYY2
09-11@ NYY1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.2 we project
RBIs0.4 we project
Total Bases1.6 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Hits9±0.9
Total Bases4±1

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-22Hits1.23−1.8
08-19Hits1.12−0.9
08-18Hits1.20+1.2
08-16Hits1.30+1.3
08-14Hits1.31+0.3
08-11Hits1.12−0.9
08-04Hits1.01−0.0
08-02Total Bases1.30+1.3
07-29Hits1.02−1.0
07-26Hits1.00+1.0

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs PHIL 7-2401000000100.275.339.419.758
09-19vs PHIW 10-3423001210000.276.339.420.760
09-18vs PHIW 6-3312000101000.272.335.413.748
09-17vs PHIL 3-0401000000100.270.333.411.744
09-16vs BALL 7-1400000000000.270.333.413.746
09-15vs BALL 7-5 F/11521001110200.272.336.416.751
09-14vs BALL 2-1402000000000.273.336.412.748
09-13@ NYYL 2-0400000000200.271.334.411.746
09-12@ NYYW 12-2512001200101.273.337.414.751
09-11@ NYYL 6-4311000010100.272.336.409.745
09-09@ MIAW 15-14410000111100.272.335.409.744
09-08@ MIAW 7-5300000020210.274.335.413.748
09-07@ MIAW 9-4421000010210.275.335.415.749
09-06vs SFW 4-2401100000100.276.334.416.750
09-05vs SFL 9-5400000000200.276.335.416.750
09-04vs SFW 10-6401000000010.278.337.419.756
09-02@ TBW 10-4422000010000.278.338.420.758
09-01@ TBL 6-2401000000100.276.335.419.755
08-31@ TBW 3-2401000000300.277.336.421.757
08-30vs HOUL 6-3400000000000.277.336.422.759