StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
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Bo Bichette

New York Mets · 3B · MLB — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Hits cleared the over 0.5 — pick a split:

8/1080% cleared overavg 1
09-20vs PHI1
09-19vs PHI1
09-18vs PHI1
09-17vs PHI1
09-16vs BAL1
09-15vs BAL3
09-14vs BAL0
09-13@ NYY1
09-12@ NYY0
09-11@ NYY1

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Hits1.0 we project
Home Runs0.1 we project
RBIs0.5 we project
Total Bases1.5 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Total Bases2±1.5
Hits1±1.2

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
08-28Hits1.20+1.2
07-31Total Bases1.30+1.3
07-27Total Bases1.23−1.8

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
09-20vs PHIL 7-2411001100100.263.312.392.703
09-19vs PHIW 10-3401000110200.263.312.388.700
09-18vs PHIW 6-3511000000100.263.312.388.700
09-17vs PHIL 3-0401000000100.263.312.390.702
09-16vs BALL 7-1401000000200.263.313.391.704
09-15vs BALL 7-5 F/11603000100001.264.313.392.705
09-14vs BALL 2-1400000000100.261.311.391.702
09-13@ NYYL 2-0401000000100.263.313.393.707
09-12@ NYYW 12-2500000000100.263.314.394.708
09-11@ NYYL 6-4411000000100.265.316.398.714
09-09@ MIAW 15-14401000120100.265.317.399.716
09-08@ MIAW 7-5401000010000.265.315.400.715
09-07@ MIAW 9-4512000110100.266.314.401.715
09-06vs SFW 4-2411001300100.264.312.401.713
09-05vs SFL 9-5400000000200.264.313.397.710
09-04vs SFW 10-6322001210000.266.315.400.715
09-02@ TBW 10-4422100010010.264.312.393.705
09-01@ TBL 6-2401000000100.262.310.390.700
08-31@ TBW 3-2411100000100.263.310.391.701
08-30vs HOUL 6-3302100010000.263.310.390.701