Exchange compare
The same contract in two places: Kalshi’s price with its fee included, beside the best sportsbook price at the same line and side, and the difference. A price comparison, not a pick.
What Kalshi lists, by league and market type
Read from Kalshi’s public listings Oct 16, 7:46 AM ET; counts are open games. “No listed markets” means Kalshi lists none right now. “No matched quote” means it lists them but no book quotes the same threshold and side for a contract we price. “Not supported” means we do not read that market type yet. “Stale” means every price was read too long ago. “Could not check” means our read failed, so we make no claim.
| League | Player props | Game winner | Spread | Game total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | Listed: 13 games | Not supported | Not supported | Not supported |
| CFB | No listed markets | Not supported | Not supported | Not supported |
| NBA | No listed markets | Not supported | Not supported | Not supported |
| WNBA | No listed markets | Not supported | Not supported | Not supported |
| MLB | 23 of 23 compared | Not supported | Not supported | Not supported |
23 of 23 contracts compare at the same line and side · 23 with a live Kalshi price · Kalshi read Oct 16, 7:47 AM ET, re-read about every 45 seconds
| Player · stat | Side and line | Kalshi, fee in | Book, same line | Details | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians · Today · 8:00 PM ET · 23 contracts in this game: related results, one exposure, not 23 (16 are extra markets on the same player) | |||||||
| Brayan Rocchiohits · proj 0.99 | Over 0.5 hitsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 55¢ · -122incl. 2¢ fee | -120Book | −0.5 ptsBook cheaper | 53% | −4% | |
| Brayan Rocchiohome runs · proj 0.12 | Under 0.5 home runsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 96¢ · -2400incl. 1¢ fee | -2500Book | +0.2 ptsKalshi cheaper | 95% | −1% | |
| Brayan RocchioRBIs · proj 0.71 | Under 0.5 RBIsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 84¢ · -525incl. 2¢ fee | -465Book | −1.7 ptsBook cheaper | 80% | −5% | |
| Jo Adellhits · proj 0.96 | Over 0.5 hitsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 62¢ · -163incl. 2¢ fee | -146Book | −2.7 ptsBook cheaper | 60% | −3% | |
| Jo Adellhome runs · proj 0.18 | Under 0.5 home runsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 89¢ · -809incl. 1¢ fee | -733Book | −1.0 ptsBook cheaper | 89% | 0% | |
| Jo AdellRBIs · proj 0.56 | Under 0.5 RBIsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 72¢ · -257incl. 2¢ fee | -220Book | −3.2 ptsBook cheaper | 71% | −1% | |
| Jo Adelltotal bases · proj 1.65 | Under 1.5 total basesKalshi “2+” means 2 or more, no push | 70¢ · -233incl. 2¢ fee | -200Espnbet | −3.3 ptsBook cheaper | 65% | −7% | |
| Jonathan Arandahits · proj 0.85 | Over 0.5 hitsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 62¢ · -163incl. 2¢ fee | -156Book | −1.1 ptsBook cheaper | 59% | −4% | |
| Jonathan Arandahome runs · proj 0.18 | Under 0.5 home runsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 92¢ · -1150incl. 1¢ fee | -1300Book | +0.9 ptsKalshi cheaper | 92% | 0% | |
| Jonathan ArandaRBIs · proj 0.48 | Under 0.5 RBIsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 78¢ · -355incl. 2¢ fee | -335Book | −1.0 ptsBook cheaper | 78% | 0% | |
| Jose Ramirezhits · proj 0.92 | Over 0.5 hitsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 66¢ · -194incl. 2¢ fee | -174Book | −2.5 ptsBook cheaper | 63% | −5% | |
| Jose Ramirezhome runs · proj 0.08 | Under 0.5 home runsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 89¢ · -809incl. 1¢ fee | -809Book | Same price | 91% | +2% | |
| Jose RamirezRBIs · proj 0.37 | Under 0.5 RBIsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 77¢ · -335incl. 2¢ fee | -295Book | −2.3 ptsBook cheaper | 74% | −3% | |
| Jose Ramireztotal bases · proj 1.36 | Under 1.5 total basesKalshi “2+” means 2 or more, no push | 66¢ · -194incl. 2¢ fee | -170Book | −3.0 ptsBook cheaper | 63% | −4% | |
| Junior Caminerohits · proj 0.94 | Over 0.5 hitsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 66¢ · -194incl. 2¢ fee | -186Book | −1.0 ptsBook cheaper | 64% | −3% | |
| Junior Caminerohome runs · proj 0.18 | Under 0.5 home runsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 86¢ · -614incl. 1¢ fee | -614Book | Same price | 88% | +2% | |
| Junior CamineroRBIs · proj 0.49 | Under 0.5 RBIsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 73¢ · -270incl. 2¢ fee | -250Book | −1.6 ptsBook cheaper | 72% | −1% | |
| Junior Caminerototal bases · proj 1.72 | Under 1.5 total basesKalshi “2+” means 2 or more, no push | 66¢ · -194incl. 2¢ fee | -180Book | −1.7 ptsBook cheaper | 62% | −5% | |
| Nick Martinezstrikeouts · proj 3.57 | Over 2.5 strikeoutsKalshi “3+” means 3 or more, no push | 48¢ · +108incl. 2¢ fee | +122Draftkings | −3.0 ptsBook cheaper | 48% | −1% | |
| Yandy Diazhits · proj 0.91 | Over 0.5 hitsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 70¢ · -233incl. 2¢ fee | -230Book | −0.3 ptsBook cheaper | 67% | −4% | |
| Yandy Diazhome runs · proj 0.06 | Under 0.5 home runsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 92¢ · -1150incl. 1¢ fee | -1800Book | +2.7 ptsKalshi cheaper | 95% | +3% | |
| Yandy DiazRBIs · proj 0.46 | Under 0.5 RBIsKalshi “1+” means 1 or more, no push | 79¢ · -376incl. 2¢ fee | -335Book | −2.0 ptsBook cheaper | 76% | −3% | |
| Yandy Diaztotal bases · proj 1.19 | Under 1.5 total basesKalshi “2+” means 2 or more, no push | 64¢ · -178incl. 2¢ fee | -163Book | −2.0 ptsBook cheaper | 63% | −2% | |
How these prices are read
Kalshi lists per-player “N+” contracts: NO is under the line, YES is over it, and the line is the sportsbook’s over/under. The Kalshi price is the best marketable ask from its live orderbook, shown all-in with Kalshi’s trading fee so the cents and the odds are one price. The book price is the best sportsbook price we hold for the same side at the same line. Price difference compares the two as implied chances, fee included, in percentage points: plus means Kalshi is cheaper for the same payout, minus means the book is. A blank Kalshi price means that side of the book is empty, or quoted only in the 1¢/99¢ tails, which we don’t put a number on. Our chance is the model’s estimate that the side lands, shown only where it applies to this exact contract (MLB: the book line; WNBA: the main line). Model EV is separate: Model EV is the expected profit per $1 spent at the all-in Kalshi price (ask plus Kalshi’s fee), if our chance is right: chance × (100 ÷ all-in cents − 1) − (1 − chance). The fee is included at Kalshi’s standard taker rate. It is an estimate on this contract at this price, not a forecast, and it is separate from our chance. Sorting by chance is not sorting by value.
Read times. While this page is open it re-reads Kalshi about every 45 seconds. A successful read shows what is resting on the book now; it does not show how long a price has been resting. Each row’s Details say when its price was read and, separately, when Kalshi’s listing for that market last updated. A price read more than 15 minutes ago is marked Stale: confirm it on Kalshi.
Settlement. A row is a comparison only when the game, stat, line and side all match. Each venue’s rules for a player who doesn’t play can differ; read both before treating them as one bet.