Nick Martinez Prop Projections
Tampa Bay Rays · SP · MLB
Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET
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Projections & lines
No pick logged for Nick Martinez on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks
A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strikeouts | 3.57 | 2.50 | +1.07 |
| Outs Recorded | 16.45 | 12.50 | +3.95 |
Recent games
3.90Average strikeouts, last 10 (10 games)Over 2.50 in 9 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 7 · ● landed over · ○ did not
Full game log
| Date | Opponent | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | @ NYY · Postseason | 3 |
| Sep 27 | @ PHI | 1 |
| Sep 22 | @ NYY | 7 |
| Sep 16 | vs ATH | 3 |
| Sep 10 | @ ATL | 3 |
| Sep 4 | @ TEX | 4 |
| Aug 29 | vs SD | 4 |
| Aug 23 | @ BAL | 4 |
| Aug 18 | vs TOR | 5 |
| Aug 11 | @ ATH | 5 |
Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | K | GB | FB | P | TBF | GSC | Dec | Rel | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | @ NYY | W 4-3 | 3.2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 16 | 45.0 | - | - | 4.91 |
| Sep 27 | @ PHI | L 7-3 | 2.2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 50 | 16 | 28.0 | L(15-6) | - | 3.10 |
| Sep 22 | @ NYY | L 2-0 | 6.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 94 | 24 | 60.0 | L(15-5) | - | 2.94 |
| Sep 16 | vs ATH | W 4-3 | 5.0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 72 | 19 | 52.0 | W(15-4) | - | 2.94 |
| Sep 10 | @ ATL | L 3-1 | 6.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 68 | 20 | 72.0 | - | - | 2.92 |
| Sep 4 | @ TEX | W 7-6 | 6.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 90 | 25 | 53.0 | W(14-4) | - | 3.04 |
| Aug 29 | vs SD | W 7-6 | 6.0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 25 | 50.0 | - | - | 2.99 |
| Aug 23 | @ BAL | W 3-1 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 86 | 19 | 74.0 | W(13-4) | - | 2.93 |
| Aug 18 | vs TOR | L 10-5 | 3.2 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 82 | 22 | 22.0 | L(12-4) | - | 3.05 |
| Aug 11 | @ ATH | W 12-4 | 9.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 101 | 33 | 60.0 | W(12-3) | - | 2.74 |
| Aug 5 | @ COL | W 4-0 | 5.2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 75 | 22 | 61.0 | W(11-3) | - | 2.65 |
| Jul 31 | vs CHW | L 6-1 | 6.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 77 | 24 | 36.0 | L(10-3) | - | 2.77 |
| Jul 25 | vs CLE | W 3-0 | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 84 | 21 | 69.0 | W(10-2) | - | 2.45 |
| Jul 20 | @ TOR | W 7-1 | 6.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 82 | 24 | 55.0 | W(9-2) | - | 2.59 |
| Jul 14 | vs NL | W 4-0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 0.0 | - | HLD(1) | 0.00 |
| Jul 10 | vs SEA | W 7-2 | 5.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 70 | 20 | 52.0 | W(8-2) | - | 2.65 |
| Jul 3 | @ HOU | W 3-1 | 5.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 85 | 21 | 60.0 | - | - | 2.61 |
| Jun 26 | vs ARI | W 6-1 | 5.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 85 | 23 | 56.0 | W(7-2) | - | 2.66 |
| Jun 21 | vs WSH | W 4-3 | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 88 | 24 | 54.0 | - | - | 2.73 |
| Jun 15 | @ LAD | L 4-3 | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 96 | 22 | 51.0 | - | - | 2.60 |
Context
- Next game
- Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET
Compare prices
Strikeouts · line 2.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.
| Book | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +115 | −155 |
| DraftKings | +108 | −137 |
| ESPN BET | +105 | −140 |
| Fanatics Sportsbook | +110 | −145 |
| FanDuel | +100 | −128Best |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | −135 |
| Novig | +122Best | −133 |
| ProphetX | +116 | −134 |
| Shown, never used as our price | ||
| BetOnline | +106 | −137 |
| Bovada | +100 | −130 |
| Fliff | −110 | −150 |
| ReBet | +101 | −140 |
Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.
Kalshi Over: 52¢ with the trading fee included (ask 51¢) · Oct 15, 4:10 PM ET. An exchange contract, priced per $1 payout.
Prices as of Oct 16, 8:05 AM ET.
About these books
Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.
Offshore. Offshore and unlicensed in the US. It has paid reliably for over two decades and often has the better number, but no US regulator can make it pay you, and its rules let it void bets it decides were priced in error, which is exactly the kind of bet we surface.
Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.
Model accuracy
every projection logged for Nick Martinez
No graded projections for Nick Martinez yet.
How this is calculated
- Projection
- StatIQ’s number for Nick Martinez’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number at the book named beside it.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (+1.07 for strikeouts). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
- Actual
- Nick Martinez’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.
