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Detail

Nick Martinez Prop Projections

Tampa Bay Rays · SP · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Strikeouts

Oct 16

Projection only
3.57Projection · strikeouts
2.5Line · Novig
+1.07Gap
Compare prices

No pick logged for Nick Martinez on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Strikeouts3.572.50+1.07
Outs Recorded16.4512.50+3.95

Recent games

3.90Average strikeouts, last 10 (10 games)Over 2.50 in 9 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 7 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log
Nick Martinez game log
DateOpponentStrikeouts
Oct 7@ NYY · Postseason3
Sep 27@ PHI1
Sep 22@ NYY7
Sep 16vs ATH3
Sep 10@ ATL3
Sep 4@ TEX4
Aug 29vs SD4
Aug 23@ BAL4
Aug 18vs TOR5
Aug 11@ ATH5
Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN
Nick Martinez full game log, last 20 games
DateOppResultIPHRERHRBBKGBFBPTBFGSCDecRelERA
Oct 7@ NYYW 4-33.252201375631645.0--4.91
Sep 27@ PHIL 7-32.2744011410501628.0L(15-6)-3.10
Sep 22@ NYYL 2-06.0522117511942460.0L(15-5)-2.94
Sep 16vs ATHW 4-35.052220379721952.0W(15-4)-2.94
Sep 10@ ATLL 3-16.1200003512682072.0--2.92
Sep 4@ TEXW 7-66.1533124910902553.0W(14-4)-3.04
Aug 29vs SDW 7-66.0733104912812550.0--2.99
Aug 23@ BALW 3-16.0100004510861974.0W(13-4)-2.93
Aug 18vs TORL 10-53.2966125312822222.0L(12-4)-3.05
Aug 11@ ATHW 12-49.084410512161013360.0W(12-3)-2.74
Aug 5@ COLW 4-05.2600004810752261.0W(11-3)-2.65
Jul 31vs CHWL 6-16.0766402715772436.0L(10-3)-2.77
Jul 25vs CLEW 3-06.0400005412842169.0W(10-2)-2.45
Jul 20@ TORW 7-16.0611010914822455.0W(9-2)-2.59
Jul 14vs NLW 4-01.0000001201230.0-HLD(1)0.00
Jul 10vs SEAW 7-25.1422111108702052.0W(8-2)-2.65
Jul 3@ HOUW 3-15.131111379852160.0--2.61
Jun 26vs ARIW 6-15.2611103416852356.0W(7-2)-2.66
Jun 21vs WSHW 4-36.0433135313882454.0--2.73
Jun 15@ LADL 4-35.1533116510962251.0--2.60

Context

Next game
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

Compare prices

Strikeouts · line 2.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

BookOver 2.5Under 2.5
BetMGM+115−155
DraftKings+108−137
ESPN BET+105−140
Fanatics Sportsbook+110−145
FanDuel+100−128Best
Hard Rock Bet+105−135
Novig+122Best−133
ProphetX+116−134
Shown, never used as our price
BetOnline+106−137
Bovada+100−130
Fliff−110−150
ReBet+101−140

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Kalshi Over: 52¢ with the trading fee included (ask 51¢) · Oct 15, 4:10 PM ET. An exchange contract, priced per $1 payout.

Prices as of Oct 16, 8:05 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Offshore. Offshore and unlicensed in the US. It has paid reliably for over two decades and often has the better number, but no US regulator can make it pay you, and its rules let it void bets it decides were priced in error, which is exactly the kind of bet we surface.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Nick Martinez

No graded projections for Nick Martinez yet.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection
StatIQ’s number for Nick Martinez’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line
The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap
Projection minus the line (+1.07 for strikeouts). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual
Nick Martinez’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

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