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Detail

Junior Caminero Prop Projections

Tampa Bay Rays · 3B · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Total Bases

Oct 16

Projection only
1.72Projection · total bases
1.5Line · BetMGM
+0.22Gap
Compare prices

No pick logged for Junior Caminero on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Total Bases1.721.50+0.22
Hits0.940.50+0.44
Home Runs0.180.50−0.32
RBIs0.490.50−0.01

Recent games

1.50Average total bases, last 10 (10 games)Under 1.50 in 6 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 15 · ● landed under · ○ did not

Full game log
Junior Caminero game log
DateOpponentTotal Bases
Oct 15@ CLE · Postseason0
Oct 13vs CLE · Postseason2
Oct 12vs CLE · Postseason1
Oct 7@ NYY · Postseason1
Oct 5vs NYY · Postseason3
Oct 3vs NYY · Postseason0
Sep 27@ PHI0
Sep 26@ PHI5
Sep 25@ PHI1
Sep 24@ NYY2
Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN
Junior Caminero full game log, last 20 games
DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Oct 15@ CLEL 3-2400000000400.238.333.333.667
Oct 13vs CLEW 3-1301100010100.294.400.412.812
Oct 12vs CLEL 7-3411000100200.286.375.357.732
Oct 7@ NYYW 4-3411000000100.300.417.400.817
Oct 5vs NYYW 5-2412100000000.333.500.5001.000
Oct 3vs NYYW 1-0200000020100.000.500.000.500
Sep 27@ PHIL 7-3200000000100.276.360.524.885
Sep 26@ PHIW 12-1332001210100.277.361.526.887
Sep 25@ PHIW 2-0411000000100.275.359.520.880
Sep 24@ NYYL 6-4502000200000.275.360.522.882
Sep 23@ NYYL 9-2200000000000.274.360.523.883
Sep 22@ NYYW 6-1501100000000.275.361.525.886
Sep 22@ NYYL 2-0300000000100.276.362.526.888
Sep 20vs BOSW 5-1411000000100.277.363.529.892
Sep 19vs BOSW 2-1411000000100.277.364.531.895
Sep 18vs BOSL 4-2301100120100.277.365.533.897
Sep 17vs ATHW 10-1310000020100.277.363.532.895
Sep 16vs ATHW 4-3411100000100.279.363.535.897
Sep 15vs ATHW 2-1411001100200.279.363.535.898
Sep 13vs HOUW 14-4411100000000.279.364.532.896

Context

Next game
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

Compare prices

Total Bases · line 1.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

BookOver 1.5Under 1.5
BetMGM+120−160Best
Caesars+134−179
DraftKings+142−190
ESPN BET+130−165
Hard Rock Bet+135−180
Novig+150Best−167
ProphetX+130−205
Shown, never used as our price
BetOnline+139−182
Bovada+145−190
Fliff+125−205
ReBet+128−186

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Kalshi Under: 69¢ with the trading fee included (ask 68¢) · Oct 15, 4:45 PM ET. An exchange contract, priced per $1 payout.

Prices as of Oct 16, 8:15 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Offshore. Offshore and unlicensed in the US. It has paid reliably for over two decades and often has the better number, but no US regulator can make it pay you, and its rules let it void bets it decides were priced in error, which is exactly the kind of bet we surface.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Junior Caminero

Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, Home Runs and RBIs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.

Junior Caminero: projection accuracy by market
MarketGradedAverage missLanded within
Hits8––
Total Bases8––

Neither column is a range for the next game.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection
StatIQ’s number for Junior Caminero’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line
The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap
Projection minus the line (+0.22 for total bases). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual
Junior Caminero’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

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