Home Runs
Projection only
0.18Projection · home runs
0.5Line · Novig
−0.32Gap
Jo Adell Prop Projections
Cleveland Guardians · RF · MLB
Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET
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Projections & lines
No pick logged for Jo Adell on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks
A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Runs | 0.18 | 0.50 | −0.32 |
| Hits | 0.96 | 0.50 | +0.46 |
| RBIs | 0.56 | 0.50 | +0.06 |
| Total Bases | 1.65 | 1.50 | +0.15 |
Recent games
0.10Average home runs, last 10 (10 games)Under 0.50 in 9 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 15 · ● landed under · ○ did not
Full game log
| Date | Opponent | Home Runs |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | vs TB · Postseason | 0 |
| Oct 13 | @ TB · Postseason | 0 |
| Oct 12 | @ TB · Postseason | 0 |
| Oct 10 | vs CHW · Postseason | 0 |
| Oct 8 | @ CHW · Postseason | 0 |
| Oct 7 | @ CHW · Postseason | 0 |
| Oct 5 | vs CHW · Postseason | 0 |
| Oct 3 | vs CHW · Postseason | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @ KC | 1 |
| Sep 26 | @ KC | 0 |
Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | HBP | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | vs TB | W 3-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .294 | .367 | .661 |
| Oct 13 | @ TB | L 3-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .290 | .393 | .683 |
| Oct 12 | @ TB | W 7-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .333 | .458 | .792 |
| Oct 10 | vs CHW | W 2-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .263 | .364 | .474 | .837 |
| Oct 8 | @ CHW | W 9-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .267 | .389 | .533 | .922 |
| Oct 7 | @ CHW | W 9-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .385 | .636 | 1.021 |
| Oct 5 | vs CHW | L 4-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .250 | .429 | .679 |
| Oct 3 | vs CHW | L 3-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
| Sep 27 | @ KC | L 3-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 | .298 | .401 | .700 |
| Sep 26 | @ KC | W 11-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .238 | .296 | .395 | .691 |
| Sep 25 | @ KC | W 12-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .240 | .298 | .399 | .698 |
| Sep 24 | @ BOS | W 1-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .238 | .294 | .395 | .689 |
| Sep 23 | @ BOS | L 1-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .240 | .296 | .398 | .694 |
| Sep 22 | @ BOS | W 3-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .296 | .400 | .696 |
| Sep 20 | vs ATH | W 1-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .295 | .401 | .696 |
| Sep 19 | vs ATH | W 12-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .296 | .402 | .698 |
| Sep 18 | vs ATH | W 5-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .240 | .295 | .402 | .697 |
| Sep 16 | vs CHW | W 6-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .239 | .295 | .403 | .698 |
| Sep 15 | vs CHW | W 7-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .239 | .294 | .404 | .697 |
| Sep 14 | vs CHW | L 7-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .239 | .294 | .399 | .693 |
Context
- Next game
- Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET
Compare prices
Home Runs · line 0.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.
| Book | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +550 | – |
| betPARX | +550 | −1250 |
| BetRivers | +550 | – |
| Caesars | +575 | – |
| ESPN BET | +525 | −1000 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +575 | – |
| Novig | +590Best | −669Best |
| ProphetX | +580 | −880 |
| Shown, never used as our price | ||
| Fliff | +500 | −1220 |
Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.
Kalshi Under: 95¢ with the trading fee included (ask 94¢) · Oct 15, 4:20 PM ET. An exchange contract, priced per $1 payout.
Prices as of Oct 16, 8:15 AM ET.
About these books
Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.
Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.
Model accuracy
every projection logged for Jo Adell
Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, Home Runs and RBIs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.
| Market | Graded | Average miss | Landed within |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 6 | – | – |
| Total Bases | 4 | – | – |
Neither column is a range for the next game.
How this is calculated
- Projection
- StatIQ’s number for Jo Adell’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
- Line
- The market’s number at the book named beside it.
- Gap
- Projection minus the line (−0.32 for home runs). A difference, never an edge.
- Average miss
- The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
- Actual
- Jo Adell’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.