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Yandy Diaz Prop Projections

Tampa Bay Rays · DH · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Home Runs

Oct 16

Projection only
0.06Projection · home runs
0.5Line · ProphetX
−0.44Gap
Compare prices

No pick logged for Yandy Diaz on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

MarketProjectionLineGap
Home Runs0.060.50−0.44
Hits0.910.50+0.41
RBIs0.460.50−0.04
Total Bases1.191.50−0.31

Recent games

0.00Average home runs, last 10 (10 games)Under 0.50 in 10 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 15 · ● landed under · ○ did not

Full game log
Yandy Diaz game log
DateOpponentHome Runs
Oct 15@ CLE · Postseason0
Oct 13vs CLE · Postseason0
Oct 12vs CLE · Postseason0
Oct 7@ NYY · Postseason0
Oct 5vs NYY · Postseason0
Oct 3vs NYY · Postseason0
Sep 26@ PHI0
Sep 25@ PHI0
Sep 24@ NYY0
Sep 22@ NYY0
Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN
Yandy Diaz full game log, last 20 games
DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Oct 15@ CLEL 3-2411100000100.240.269.320.589
Oct 13vs CLEW 3-1400000000100.238.273.286.558
Oct 12vs CLEL 7-3512100000100.294.333.353.686
Oct 7@ NYYW 4-3401000000200.250.308.250.558
Oct 5vs NYYW 5-2411000010100.250.333.250.583
Oct 3vs NYYW 1-0401000000000.250.250.250.500
Sep 26@ PHIW 12-1433100000000.293.359.446.805
Sep 25@ PHIW 2-0400000000000.290.356.443.799
Sep 24@ NYYL 6-4422000010000.292.358.446.804
Sep 22@ NYYW 6-1502000400000.291.357.445.802
Sep 22@ NYYL 2-0400000000200.290.356.446.802
Sep 20vs BOSW 5-1310000010000.292.358.449.807
Sep 18vs BOSL 4-2310000020100.293.359.451.810
Sep 17vs ATHW 10-1500000000200.295.359.453.812
Sep 16vs ATHW 4-3400000000000.297.362.457.819
Sep 15vs ATHW 2-1400000000100.299.364.460.824
Sep 13vs HOUW 14-4522000100000.301.366.463.829
Sep 12vs HOUW 3-2400000000100.301.366.464.830
Sep 11vs HOUW 3-1400000000200.303.368.467.835
Sep 10@ ATLL 3-1401000000100.305.370.471.841

Context

Next game
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

Compare prices

Home Runs · line 0.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

BookOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet+900–
betPARX+900−2500
BetRivers+900–
Caesars+950–
ESPN BET+1000Best−2800
Hard Rock Bet+900–
Novig+900–
ProphetX+910−1800Best
Shown, never used as our price
Fliff+710−2915

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Kalshi Under: 96¢ with the trading fee included (ask 95¢) · Oct 15, 4:30 PM ET. An exchange contract, priced per $1 payout.

Prices as of Oct 16, 8:05 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Yandy Diaz

Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, Home Runs and RBIs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.

Yandy Diaz: projection accuracy by market
MarketGradedAverage missLanded within
Hits6––
Total Bases2––

Neither column is a range for the next game.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection
StatIQ’s number for Yandy Diaz’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line
The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap
Projection minus the line (−0.44 for home runs). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual
Yandy Diaz’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

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