MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 21

LAD atSF · 10:15 PM ET

Osleivis BasabeSF · vs LAD · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.47

0.5

−0.03

VoidUnder 0.5 · -1170.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 53.9%

Brett HarrisSF · vs LAD · Sep 25 · Final

0.37

0.5

−0.13

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Freddie FreemanLAD · at SF · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

1.14

1.5

−0.36

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -130+0.77uat Novig

Actual results

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: 56.5%

Marcelo MayerSF · vs LAD · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

0.83

0.5

+0.33

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.4% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Scott BanduraSF · vs LAD · Sep 25 · Final

0.50

0.5

0.00

− LossUnder 0.5 · -120−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 54.5%

Jonah CoxSF · vs LAD · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

0.94

0.5

+0.44

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 0.94Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 44.4%

LAA atSEA · 10:10 PM ET

Randy ArozarenaSEA · vs LAA · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

1.13

0.5

+0.63

− LossOver 0.5 · -152−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 60.3%

J.P. CrawfordSEA · vs LAA · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.75

0.5

+0.25

VoidOver 0.5 · -1380.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 58.0%

Josh LoweLAA · at SEA · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.55

0.5

+0.05

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.8% chance of zero hits. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Travis d'ArnaudLAA · at SEA · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

0.51

0.5

+0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -110+0.91uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 56.3% chance of zero total bases. The recorded -110 price needs about 52% to break even.

Actual results

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: 52.4%

Bryce TeodosioLAA · at SEA · Sep 25 · Final

0.34

0.5

−0.16

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -140+0.71uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 58.3%

Christian MooreLAA · at SEA · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

0.89

0.5

+0.39

Actual: 4 total bases · Projection: 0.89Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Leo RivasSEA · vs LAA · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

0.43

0.5

−0.07

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 0.43Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 56.9%

ARI atSD · 9:40 PM ET

Nolan ArenadoARI · at SD · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

1.32

0.5

+0.82

+ WinOver 0.5 · -134+0.75uat Bally Bet

Actual results

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: 57.3%

Pavin SmithARI · at SD · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.61

0.5

+0.11

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Jesus SanchezARI at SD · Sep 25 · Final

0.43

0.5

−0.07

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1180.00uat DraftKings

Actual results

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: 45.9%

HOU atATH · 9:40 PM ET

Nelson VelazquezHOU · at ATH · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.27

0.5

−0.23

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1150.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Jorge BarrosaHOU · at ATH · Sep 25 · Final

0.19

0.5

−0.31

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +115+1.15uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Yainer DiazHOU · at ATH · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

1.91

1.5

+0.41

− LossUnder 1.5 · -111−1.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 54.5% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -111 price needs about 53% to break even.

Actual results

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: 52.6%

Shea LangeliersATH · vs HOU · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

1.78

1.5

+0.28

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -142+0.69uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 60.8% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -142 price needs about 59% to break even.

Actual results

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: 58.7%

TEX atMIN · 8:10 PM ET

Walker JenkinsMIN · vs TEX · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.80

0.5

+0.30

+ WinOver 0.5 · -114+0.88uat BetRivers

Actual results

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: 53.3%

Ryan KreidlerMIN · vs TEX · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.40

0.5

−0.10

− LossUnder 0.5 · -104−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 51.0%

STL atMIL · 7:40 PM ET

Jake BauersMIL · vs STL · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.83

0.5

+0.33

+ WinOver 0.5 · -135+0.74uat Novig

Actual results

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: 57.4%

Jordan WalkerSTL · at MIL · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.66

0.5

+0.16

− LossUnder 0.5 · +195−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 35.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +195 price needs about 34% to break even.

Actual results

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: 33.9%

Masyn WinnSTL · at MIL · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.56

0.5

+0.06

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +128+1.28uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 45.9% chance of zero hits. The recorded +128 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 43.9%

Sal FrelickMIL · vs STL · Sep 25 · Final

0.80

0.5

+0.30

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +145+1.42uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 44.6% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +145 price needs about 41% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.8%

Victor Scott IISTL · at MIL · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

0.21

0.5

−0.29

− LossUnder 0.5 · -113−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 53.1%

Joey OrtizMIL · vs STL · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.97

0.5

+0.47

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 0.97Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 61.5%

JJ WetherholtSTL · at MIL · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

1.33

1.5

−0.17

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 1.33Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 63.0%

Pedro PagesSTL · at MIL · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

0.57

0.5

+0.07

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 0.57Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 52.6%

COL atCWS · 7:40 PM ET

TJ RumfieldCOL · at CWS · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

1.14

0.5

+0.64

+ WinOver 0.5 · -128+0.77uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 56.1%

Colson MontgomeryCWS · vs COL · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.46

0.5

−0.04

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +125+1.25uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 44.4%

Tristan PetersCWS · vs COL · Sep 25 · Final

0.46

0.5

−0.04

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +150+1.50uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 40.0%

Zac VeenCOL · at CWS · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.46

0.5

−0.04

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -140+0.71uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 58.3%

Jake RogersCWS · vs COL · Sep 25 · Final

0.56

0.5

+0.06

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1100.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 50.6% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Andrew BenintendiCWS · vs COL · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.61

0.5

+0.11

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.61Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 39.2%

Munetaka MurakamiCWS · vs COL · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.61

0.5

+0.11

Actual: 3 hits · Projection: 0.61Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 42.6%

Kyle TeelCWS · vs COL · Sep 25 · Final

0.60

0.5

+0.10

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.60Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 37.0%

CLE atKC · 7:40 PM ET

Kyle IsbelKC · vs CLE · Sep 25 · Final

0.62

0.5

+0.12

− LossUnder 0.5 · -106−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 53.7% chance of zero total bases. The recorded -106 price needs about 51% to break even.

Actual results

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: 51.5%

BAL atNYY · 7:30 PM ET

Dylan BeaversBAL · at NYY · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.64

0.5

+0.14

− LossUnder 0.5 · +120−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 48.3% chance of zero hits. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Amed RosarioNYY · vs BAL · Sep 25 · Final

0.64

0.5

+0.14

− LossUnder 0.5 · +140−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 43.3% chance of zero hits. The recorded +140 price needs about 42% to break even.

Actual results

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: 41.7%

Austin WellsNYY · vs BAL · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.48

0.5

−0.02

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -145+0.69uat Hard Rock Bet

Actual results

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: 59.2%

Carlos NarvaezBAL · at NYY · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.33

0.5

−0.17

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -140+0.71uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 58.3%

Leody TaverasBAL · at NYY · Sep 25 · Final

0.74

0.5

+0.24

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +107+1.05uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 50.1% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +107 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 48.3%

Coby MayoBAL · at NYY · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.76

0.5

+0.26

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.76Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Colton CowserBAL · at NYY · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.61

0.5

+0.11

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 0.61Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 56.3%

Jeremiah JacksonBAL · at NYY · Sep 25 · Final

Hits

0.48

0.5

−0.02

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.48Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 45.9%

Cody BellingerNYY · vs BAL · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

2.05

1.5

+0.55

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 2.05Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 64.5%

Gunnar HendersonBAL · at NYY · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

1.60

1.5

+0.10

Actual: 2 total bases · Projection: 1.60Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 61.8%

Heliot RamosNYY · vs BAL · Sep 25 · Final

Total Bases

1.47

1.5

−0.03

Actual: 4 total bases · Projection: 1.47Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 61.8%

Friday · Sep 25

Today

LAD atSF · 10:15 PM ET

LAA atSEA · 10:10 PM ET

ARI atSD · 9:40 PM ET

HOU atATH · 9:40 PM ET

TEX atMIN · 8:10 PM ET

STL atMIL · 7:40 PM ET

COL atCWS · 7:40 PM ET

CLE atKC · 7:40 PM ET

BAL atNYY · 7:30 PM ET

Friday · Sep 25

LAD atSF · 10:15 PM ET

LAA atSEA · 10:10 PM ET

ARI atSD · 9:40 PM ET

HOU atATH · 9:40 PM ET

TEX atMIN · 8:10 PM ET

STL atMIL · 7:40 PM ET

COL atCWS · 7:40 PM ET

CLE atKC · 7:40 PM ET

BAL atNYY · 7:30 PM ET