MIL at
BAL · 7:20 PM ETGunnar HendersonBAL · vs MIL · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.92
0.5
+0.42
− LossOver 0.5 · -122−1.00uat ProphetX
Actual results
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- 55.0%
Today
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What is on this board: 59 plays logged at a price · everything else is a projection, not a pick
- 22 graded research rows · not part of the pick record
- 81 settled and still on the board
MIL atBAL · 7:20 PM ET
Christian YelichMIL · at BAL · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.88
0.5
+0.38
− LossOver 0.5 · -164−1.00uat ProphetX
Actual results
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- 62.1%
Sal FrelickMIL · at BAL · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.65
0.5
+0.15
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +150+1.47uat ProphetX
Why Under? Our model estimates a 41.5% chance of zero hits. The recorded +150 price needs about 40% to break even.
Actual results
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- 40.0%
Jeremiah JacksonBAL · vs MIL · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.44
0.5
−0.06
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +104+1.02uat ProphetX
Actual results
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- 49.0%
NYY atARI · 4:10 PM ET
NYY at
ARI · 4:10 PM ETLars NootbaarARI · vs NYY · Sep 20 · Final
0.69
0.5
+0.19
− LossUnder 0.5 · +163−1.00uat betPARX
Why Under? Our model estimates a 39.3% chance of zero hits. The recorded +163 price needs about 38% to break even.
Actual results
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- 38.0%
Pavin SmithARI · vs NYY · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.51
0.5
+0.01
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +135+1.35uat Fanatics Sportsbook
Why Under? Our model estimates a 44.3% chance of zero hits. The recorded +135 price needs about 43% to break even.
Actual results
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- 42.6%
MIA atSD · 4:10 PM ET
MIA at
SD · 4:10 PM ETTy FranceSD · vs MIA · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
1.36
0.5
+0.86
− LossOver 0.5 · -180−1.00uat ProphetX
Actual results
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- 64.3%
Jackson MerrillSD · vs MIA · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
1.32
0.5
+0.82
+ WinOver 0.5 · -182+0.54uat ProphetX
Actual results
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- 64.5%
Jake CronenworthSD · vs MIA · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.87
0.5
+0.37
+ WinOver 0.5 · -123+0.80uat ProphetX
Actual results
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- 55.2%
Deyvison De Los SantosMIA · at SD · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
0.58
0.5
+0.08
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET
Why Under? Our model estimates a 51.6% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.
Actual results
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- 50.0%
SF atLAD · 4:10 PM ET
SF at
LAD · 4:10 PM ETAndrew KniznerSF · at LAD · Sep 20 · Final
0.59
0.5
+0.09
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +125+1.25uat BetMGM
Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.
Actual results
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- 44.4%
Enrique HernandezLAD · vs SF · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.46
0.5
−0.04
− LossUnder 0.5 · +115−1.00uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 46.5%
Brett HarrisSF · at LAD · Sep 20 · Final
0.29
0.5
−0.21
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET
Actual results
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- 47.6%
Shay WhitcombSF · at LAD · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
0.91
0.5
+0.41
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat ESPN BET
Why Under? Our model estimates a 47.1% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.
Actual results
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- 45.5%
Tommy EdmanLAD · vs SF · Sep 20 · Final
0.87
1.5
−0.63
− LossUnder 1.5 · -135−1.00uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 57.4%
Christian KossSF · at LAD · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.87
0.5
+0.37
Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.87Research onlyExcluded from pick record
Actual results
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- 53.5%
Miguel RojasLAD · vs SF · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.51
0.5
+0.01
Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.51Research onlyExcluded from pick record
Actual results
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- 40.5%
MIN atLAA · 4:07 PM ET
MIN at
LAA · 4:07 PM ETBrooks LeeMIN · at LAA · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
1.44
1.5
−0.06
− LossUnder 1.5 · -140−1.00uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 58.3%
Walker JenkinsMIN · at LAA · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
1.12
1.5
−0.38
+ WinUnder 1.5 · -175+0.57uat DraftKings
Actual results
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- 63.6%
Victor CaratiniMIN · at LAA · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
0.75
0.5
+0.25
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +140+1.40uat BetMGM
Why Under? Our model estimates a 43.5% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +140 price needs about 42% to break even.
Actual results
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- 41.7%
SEA atCOL · 3:10 PM ET
SEA at
COL · 3:10 PM ETBrock RoddenSEA · at COL · Sep 20 · Final
0.41
0.5
−0.09
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +130+1.30uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 43.5%
Cole CarriggCOL · vs SEA · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
2.06
1.5
+0.56
+ WinUnder 1.5 · -143+0.70uat Caesars
Why Under? Our model estimates a 61.2% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -143 price needs about 59% to break even.
Actual results
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- 58.8%
Kyle KarrosCOL · vs SEA · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
1.44
1.5
−0.06
VoidUnder 1.5 · -1500.00uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 60.0%
Lazaro MontesSEA · at COL · Sep 20 · Final
1.40
1.5
−0.10
+ WinUnder 1.5 · -140+0.71uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 58.3%
Jordan BeckCOL · vs SEA · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
0.58
1.5
−0.92
+ WinUnder 1.5 · -200+0.50uat ESPN BET
Actual results
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- 66.7%
J.P. CrawfordSEA · at COL · Sep 20 · Final
0.83
1.5
−0.67
Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.83Research onlyExcluded from pick record
Actual results
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- 65.5%
TOR atTEX · 2:35 PM ET
TOR at
TEX · 2:35 PM ETKazuma OkamotoTOR · at TEX · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.98
0.5
+0.48
+ WinOver 0.5 · -112+0.89uat BetRivers
Actual results
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- 52.8%
Josh SmithTOR · at TEX · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.51
0.5
+0.01
+ WinUnder 0.5 · -110+0.91uat BetMGM
Why Under? Our model estimates a 54.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded -110 price needs about 52% to break even.
Actual results
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- 52.4%
Evan CarterTEX · vs TOR · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.45
0.5
−0.05
− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET
Actual results
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- 47.6%
Sean KeysTOR · at TEX · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.39
0.5
−0.11
− LossUnder 0.5 · -105−1.00uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 51.2%
Nicky LopezTEX · vs TOR · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
0.66
0.5
+0.16
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +125+1.25uat ESPN BET
Why Under? Our model estimates a 46.4% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.
Actual results
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- 44.4%
Alejandro OsunaTEX · vs TOR · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.41
0.5
−0.09
Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 0.41Research onlyExcluded from pick record
Actual results
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- 40.0%
WSH atSTL · 2:15 PM ET
WSH at
STL · 2:15 PM ETAndrés ChaparroWSH · at STL · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.76
0.5
+0.26
− LossOver 0.5 · -127−1.00uat ProphetX
Actual results
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- 55.9%
Jacob YoungWSH · at STL · Sep 20 · Final
0.91
0.5
+0.41
− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET
Why Under? Our model estimates a 50.5% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.
Actual results
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- 47.6%
Harry FordWSH · at STL · Sep 20 · Final
0.77
0.5
+0.27
− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET
Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.9% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.
Actual results
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- 47.6%
Bryan TorresSTL · vs WSH · Sep 20 · Final
0.71
0.5
+0.21
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +130+1.30uat ESPN BET
Why Under? Our model estimates a 44.9% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +130 price needs about 43% to break even.
Actual results
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- 43.5%
Nasim NunezWSH · at STL · Sep 20 · Final
0.49
0.5
−0.01
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET
Actual results
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- 50.0%
Ivan HerreraSTL · vs WSH · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.97
0.5
+0.47
Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 0.97Research onlyExcluded from pick record
Actual results
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- 64.8%
DET atCWS · 2:10 PM ET
DET at
CWS · 2:10 PM ETMiguel VargasCWS · vs DET · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.93
0.5
+0.43
+ WinOver 0.5 · -165+0.61uat BetMGM
Actual results
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- 62.3%
Chase MeidrothCWS · vs DET · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.83
0.5
+0.33
+ WinOver 0.5 · -120+0.83uat betPARX
Actual results
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- 54.5%
Munetaka MurakamiCWS · vs DET · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.57
0.5
+0.07
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat betPARX
Why Under? Our model estimates a 47.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.
Actual results
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- 45.5%
Zach McKinstryDET · at CWS · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
0.59
0.5
+0.09
VoidUnder 0.5 · +1100.00uat ESPN BET
Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.3% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.
Actual results
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- 47.6%
John PeckDET · at CWS · Sep 20 · Final
0.56
0.5
+0.06
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat ESPN BET
Why Under? Our model estimates a 47.4% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.
Actual results
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- 45.5%
Spencer TorkelsonDET · at CWS · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.87
0.5
+0.37
Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.87Research onlyExcluded from pick record
Actual results
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- 53.9%
Brenton DoyleCWS · vs DET · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.54
0.5
+0.04
Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.54Research onlyExcluded from pick record
Actual results
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- 50.5%
ATL atHOU · 2:10 PM ET
ATL at
HOU · 2:10 PM ETMauricio DubonATL · at HOU · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
1.17
0.5
+0.67
+ WinOver 0.5 · -164+0.60uat ProphetX
Actual results
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- 62.1%
Christian WalkerHOU · vs ATL · Sep 20 · Final
Hits
0.68
0.5
+0.18
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +142+1.39uat ProphetX
Why Under? Our model estimates a 42.9% chance of zero hits. The recorded +142 price needs about 41% to break even.
Actual results
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- 41.3%
Jeremy PenaHOU · vs ATL · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
1.91
1.5
+0.41
+ WinUnder 1.5 · -132+0.74uat ProphetX
Why Under? Our model estimates a 59.2% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -132 price needs about 57% to break even.
Actual results
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- 56.9%
Isaac ParedesHOU · vs ATL · Sep 20 · Final
Total Bases
1.87
1.5
+0.37
+ WinUnder 1.5 · -154+0.64uat ProphetX
Why Under? Our model estimates a 62.8% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -154 price needs about 61% to break even.
Actual results
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- 60.6%
Nick AllenHOU · vs ATL · Sep 20 · Final
0.63
0.5
+0.13
+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ESPN BET
Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.4% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.
Actual results
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- 47.6%
Showing the first 50. Nothing is removed; settled picks sort last and stay on the board.