MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 22

COL atSF · 10:15 PM ET

Osleivis BasabeSF · vs COL · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.85

0.5

+0.35

+ WinOver 0.5 · -178+0.56uat Novig

Actual results

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: 64.0%

Grant McCraySF · vs COL · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.17

0.5

−0.33

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1270.00uat Hard Rock Bet

Actual results

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: 44.1%

Buddy KennedyCOL at SF · Aug 14 · Final

0.06

0.5

−0.44

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +130+1.30u

Actual results

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: 43.5%

Victor BericotoSF · vs COL · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.59

1.5

+0.09

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -150+0.67u

Why Under? Our model estimates a 61.9% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -150 price needs about 60% to break even.

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Bryce EldridgeSF · vs COL · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.33

1.5

−0.17

− LossUnder 1.5 · -136−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 57.6%

Jake McCarthyCOL · at SF · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

1.19

0.5

+0.69

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 1.19Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 67.7%

Brett SullivanCOL · at SF · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.64

0.5

+0.14

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.64Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 48.8%

Connor NorbyCOL · at SF · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.48

0.5

−0.02

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.48Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 43.9%

Jonah CoxSF · vs COL · Aug 14 · Final

0.24

0.5

−0.26

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.24Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 38.5%

MIL atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

Max MuncyMIL at LAD · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.51

0.5

+0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +112+1.12uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +112 price needs about 47% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.2%

Enrique HernandezLAD · vs MIL · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.50

0.5

0.00

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +117+1.17uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 46.1%

Tommy EdmanLAD · vs MIL · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.00

1.5

−0.50

− LossUnder 1.5 · -140−1.00uat Hard Rock Bet

Actual results

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: 58.3%

TEX atATH · 9:40 PM ET

Elias DiazTEX · at ATH · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.52

0.5

+0.02

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +140+1.40uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 43.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +140 price needs about 42% to break even.

Actual results

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: 41.7%

Donovan WaltonATH · vs TEX · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.51

0.5

+0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +130+1.30uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 45.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +130 price needs about 43% to break even.

Actual results

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: 43.5%

Carlos CortesATH · vs TEX · Aug 14 · Final

0.40

0.5

−0.10

− LossUnder 0.5 · +175−1.00uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 36.4%

Justin FoscueTEX · at ATH · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.38

0.5

−0.12

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +125+1.25uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 44.4%

Jake BurgerTEX · at ATH · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.08

1.5

−0.42

− LossUnder 1.5 · -130−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 56.5%

Evan CarterTEX · at ATH · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.42

0.5

−0.08

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.42Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Zack GelofATH · vs TEX · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.93

1.5

+0.43

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 1.93Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 58.8%

KC atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

Jac CaglianoneKC · at LAA · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

1.27

0.5

+0.77

+ WinOver 0.5 · -205+0.49u

Actual results

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: 67.2%

Michael MasseyKC · at LAA · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.72

0.5

+0.22

+ WinOver 0.5 · -147+0.68uat Novig

Actual results

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: 59.5%

Moises BallesterosLAA · vs KC · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.56

0.5

+0.06

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +145+1.45u

Why Under? Our model estimates a 42.5% chance of zero hits. The recorded +145 price needs about 41% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.8%

Josh LoweLAA · vs KC · Aug 14 · Final

0.55

0.5

+0.05

− LossUnder 0.5 · +120−1.00u

Why Under? Our model estimates a 48.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.

Actual results

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: 45.5%

John RaveKC · at LAA · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.53

0.5

+0.03

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Why Under? Our model estimates a 51.9% chance of zero hits. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Mike TroutLAA · vs KC · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.91

0.5

+0.41

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.91Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 58.0%

Bobby Witt Jr.KC · at LAA · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.50

1.5

0.00

Actual: 1 total bases · Projection: 1.50Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 52.6%

Josh RojasKC · at LAA · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

0.93

0.5

+0.43

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 0.93Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 44.4%

SEA atHOU · 8:10 PM ET

Nick AllenHOU · vs SEA · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.37

0.5

−0.13

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat Novig

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Isaac ParedesHOU · vs SEA · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.33

1.5

−0.17

− LossUnder 1.5 · -156−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 60.9%

Daulton VarshoHOU · vs SEA · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.01

1.5

−0.49

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -176+0.56uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 63.8%

NYY atTOR · 7:15 PM ET

Andres GimenezTOR · vs NYY · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.86

0.5

+0.36

+ WinOver 0.5 · +100+0.98uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Jesus SanchezNYY at TOR · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.50

0.5

0.00

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20u

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR · vs NYY · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.41

1.5

−0.09

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -140+0.70uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 58.3%

Nathan LukesTOR · vs NYY · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

0.96

1.5

−0.54

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -175+0.57uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 63.6%

ARI atATL · 7:15 PM ET

Ryan WaldschmidtARI · at ATL · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

1.00

0.5

+0.50

− LossOver 0.5 · +111−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 47.4%

Ozzie AlbiesATL · vs ARI · Aug 14 · Final

Total Bases

1.34

1.5

−0.16

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -143+0.70uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 58.8%

WSH atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

Carson BengeNYM · vs WSH · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

1.25

0.5

+0.75

+ WinOver 0.5 · -175+0.57uat DraftKings

Actual results

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: 63.6%

Jose TenaWSH · at NYM · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.46

0.5

−0.04

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +124+1.22uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 44.6%

SD atCLE · 7:10 PM ET

Steven KwanCLE · vs SD · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

1.25

0.5

+0.75

+ WinOver 0.5 · -194+0.51uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 66.0%

Nathaniel LoweCLE · vs SD · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

1.00

0.5

+0.50

+ WinOver 0.5 · -139+0.72uat Bally Bet

Actual results

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: 58.2%

Luis CampusanoSD · at CLE · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.99

0.5

+0.49

+ WinOver 0.5 · -120+0.83uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Actual results

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: 54.5%

Luis RengifoSD at CLE · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.88

0.5

+0.38

+ WinOver 0.5 · -130+0.75uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 56.5%

BAL atTB · 7:10 PM ET

Jonathan ArandaTB · vs BAL · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

1.19

0.5

+0.69

+ WinOver 0.5 · -200+0.49uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 66.7%

Gunnar HendersonBAL · at TB · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.67

0.5

+0.17

− LossUnder 0.5 · +175−1.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 37.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +175 price needs about 36% to break even.

Actual results

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: 36.4%

Richie PalaciosTB · vs BAL · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.66

0.5

+0.16

− LossUnder 0.5 · +115−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 48.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded +115 price needs about 47% to break even.

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Carlos NarvaezBAL · at TB · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.32

0.5

−0.18

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -108+0.93uat Novig

Actual results

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: 51.9%

Christian FranklinBAL · at TB · Aug 14 · Final

0.25

0.5

−0.25

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1330.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 42.9%

Jackson HollidayBAL · at TB · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.87

0.5

+0.37

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.87Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 57.6%

Colton CowserBAL · at TB · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.51

0.5

+0.01

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.51Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 48.1%

BOS atPIT · 6:40 PM ET

Brandon LowePIT · vs BOS · Aug 14 · Final

Hits

0.96

0.5

+0.46

+ WinOver 0.5 · -136+0.72uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 57.6%

Friday · Aug 14

Today

COL atSF · 10:15 PM ET

MIL atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

TEX atATH · 9:40 PM ET

KC atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

SEA atHOU · 8:10 PM ET

NYY atTOR · 7:15 PM ET

ARI atATL · 7:15 PM ET

WSH atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

SD atCLE · 7:10 PM ET

BAL atTB · 7:10 PM ET

BOS atPIT · 6:40 PM ET

Friday · Aug 14

COL atSF · 10:15 PM ET

MIL atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

TEX atATH · 9:40 PM ET

KC atLAA · 9:38 PM ET

SEA atHOU · 8:10 PM ET

NYY atTOR · 7:15 PM ET

ARI atATL · 7:15 PM ET

WSH atNYM · 7:10 PM ET

SD atCLE · 7:10 PM ET

BAL atTB · 7:10 PM ET

BOS atPIT · 6:40 PM ET