MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 22

MIL atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

Shohei OhtaniLAD · vs MIL · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

1.29

0.5

+0.79

+ WinOver 0.5 · -198+0.49uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 66.4%

Freddie FreemanLAD · vs MIL · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

1.22

0.5

+0.72

− LossOver 0.5 · -178−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 64.0%

Miguel RojasLAD · vs MIL · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.66

0.5

+0.16

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +125+1.25u

Why Under? Our model estimates a 47.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 44.4%

Garrett MitchellMIL · at LAD · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.60

0.5

+0.10

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +135+1.35uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 44.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +135 price needs about 43% to break even.

Actual results

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: 42.6%

TEX atLAA · 10:07 PM ET

Nolan SchanuelLAA · vs TEX · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.84

0.5

+0.34

+ WinOver 0.5 · -150+0.65uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Wyatt LangfordTEX · at LAA · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.63

0.5

+0.13

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +195+1.95u

Why Under? Our model estimates a 35.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +195 price needs about 34% to break even.

Actual results

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: 33.9%

Moises BallesterosLAA · vs TEX · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.52

0.5

+0.02

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +115+1.15uat DraftKings

Why Under? Our model estimates a 48.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +115 price needs about 47% to break even.

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Josh LoweLAA · vs TEX · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.46

0.5

−0.04

− LossUnder 0.5 · -108−1.00uat Hard Rock Bet

Actual results

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: 51.9%

Oswald PerazaLAA · vs TEX · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.39

0.5

−0.11

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1150.00uat DraftKings

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Joc PedersonTEX · at LAA · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.69

0.5

+0.19

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.69Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 40.3%

Nicky LopezTEX · at LAA · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.45

0.5

−0.05

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.45Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 44.4%

Justin FoscueTEX · at LAA · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.42

0.5

−0.08

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.42Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 49.5%

PHI atMIN · 7:30 PM ET

Royce LewisMIN · vs PHI · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

1.28

0.5

+0.78

− LossOver 0.5 · -154−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 60.6%

Bryson StottPHI · at MIN · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

1.01

0.5

+0.51

+ WinOver 0.5 · -146+0.67uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 59.3%

Brooks LeeMIN · vs PHI · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.93

0.5

+0.43

− LossOver 0.5 · -140−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 58.3%

Kyle SchwarberPHI · at MIN · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.81

0.5

+0.31

+ WinOver 0.5 · -135+0.74uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 57.4%

Trevor LarnachMIN · vs PHI · Aug 13 · Final

0.62

0.5

+0.12

− LossUnder 0.5 · +165−1.00u

Why Under? Our model estimates a 40.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +165 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

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: 37.7%

Alec BohmPHI · at MIN · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.90

0.5

+0.40

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.90Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 57.4%

CHC atWSH · 4:05 PM ET

Jose TenaWSH · vs CHC · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.46

0.5

−0.04

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1300.00uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Actual results

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: 43.5%

BOS atTOR · 3:07 PM ET

Alejandro KirkTOR · vs BOS · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

1.07

0.5

+0.57

VoidOver 0.5 · -1500.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Kazuma OkamotoTOR · vs BOS · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.90

0.5

+0.40

− LossOver 0.5 · -115−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 53.5%

Nathan LukesTOR · vs BOS · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.74

0.5

+0.24

+ WinOver 0.5 · -110+0.91uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 52.4%

Willson ContrerasBOS · at TOR · Aug 13 · Final

Total Bases

1.29

1.5

−0.21

− LossUnder 1.5 · -130−1.00uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 56.5%

SEA atNYY · 1:35 PM ET

Josh NaylorSEA · at NYY · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

1.05

0.5

+0.55

+ WinOver 0.5 · -148+0.68uat Bally Bet

Actual results

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: 59.7%

Spencer JonesNYY · vs SEA · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.63

0.5

+0.13

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +115+1.15uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +115 price needs about 47% to break even.

Actual results

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: 46.5%

Leo RivasSEA · at NYY · Aug 13 · Final

0.25

0.5

−0.25

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -120+0.83uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 54.5%

Cole YoungSEA · at NYY · Aug 13 · Final

1.55

1.5

+0.05

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -190+0.52uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 67.7% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -190 price needs about 66% to break even.

Actual results

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: 65.5%

Heliot RamosNYY · vs SEA · Aug 13 · Final

Total Bases

1.14

1.5

−0.36

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -142+0.69uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 58.7%

Randy ArozarenaSEA · at NYY · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.93

0.5

+0.43

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.93Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 62.3%

Weston WilsonSEA · at NYY · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.45

0.5

−0.05

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.45Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 52.4%

CLE atDET · 1:10 PM ET

Gleyber TorresDET · vs CLE · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.91

0.5

+0.41

− LossOver 0.5 · -143−1.00uat Bally Bet

Actual results

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: 58.8%

Ben MalgeriDET · vs CLE · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.47

0.5

−0.03

− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 47.6%

PIT atMIA · 1:10 PM ET

Otto LopezMIA · vs PIT · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

1.11

1.5

−0.39

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -190+0.52uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 65.5%

Heriberto HernandezMIA · vs PIT · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.61

0.5

+0.11

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1480.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 41.7% chance of zero hits. The recorded +148 price needs about 40% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.3%

Jacob GonzalezPIT · at MIA · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.58

0.5

+0.08

− LossUnder 0.5 · +125−1.00uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Why Under? Our model estimates a 46.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 44.4%

Owen CaissieMIA · vs PIT · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.53

0.5

+0.03

− LossUnder 0.5 · +100−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.3% chance of zero hits. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Esmerlyn ValdezPIT · at MIA · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.52

0.5

+0.02

− LossUnder 0.5 · +136−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 44.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +136 price needs about 42% to break even.

Actual results

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: 42.4%

Nick GonzalesPIT · at MIA · Aug 13 · Final

1.07

1.5

−0.43

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 1.07Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 65.0%

Jared TrioloPIT · at MIA · Aug 13 · Final

0.47

0.5

−0.03

Actual: 3 hits · Projection: 0.47Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 41.7%

Bryan ReynoldsPIT · at MIA · Aug 13 · Final

Total Bases

1.36

1.5

−0.14

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 1.36Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 60.0%

CIN atCWS · 1:10 PM ET

Colson MontgomeryCWS · vs CIN · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.76

0.5

+0.26

− LossOver 0.5 · -130−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 56.5%

Brenton DoyleCWS · vs CIN · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.71

0.5

+0.21

+ WinOver 0.5 · -140+0.70uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 58.3%

Randal GrichukCWS · vs CIN · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.62

0.5

+0.12

− LossUnder 0.5 · +160−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 39.9% chance of zero hits. The recorded +160 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

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: 38.5%

Luisangel AcunaCWS · vs CIN · Aug 13 · Final

0.48

0.5

−0.02

− LossUnder 0.5 · +120−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Ke'Bryan HayesCIN · at CWS · Aug 13 · Final

Hits

0.30

0.5

−0.20

− LossUnder 0.5 · +100−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Edgar QueroCIN at CWS · Aug 13 · Final

Total Bases

0.84

0.5

+0.34

Actual: 3 total bases · Projection: 0.84Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 40.8%

Thursday · Aug 13

Today

MIL atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

TEX atLAA · 10:07 PM ET

PHI atMIN · 7:30 PM ET

CHC atWSH · 4:05 PM ET

BOS atTOR · 3:07 PM ET

SEA atNYY · 1:35 PM ET

CLE atDET · 1:10 PM ET

PIT atMIA · 1:10 PM ET

CIN atCWS · 1:10 PM ET

Thursday · Aug 13

MIL atLAD · 10:10 PM ET

TEX atLAA · 10:07 PM ET

PHI atMIN · 7:30 PM ET

CHC atWSH · 4:05 PM ET

BOS atTOR · 3:07 PM ET

SEA atNYY · 1:35 PM ET

CLE atDET · 1:10 PM ET

PIT atMIA · 1:10 PM ET

CIN atCWS · 1:10 PM ET