What does StatIQ project for Nathaniel Lowe?

StatIQ shows current MLB projections for Nathaniel Lowe in Hits, Home Runs, RBIs, and Total Bases, each with the player's recent form, season stats and the full game log so you can weigh the number yourself. Projections are model estimates, not guarantees.

Does StatIQ show a track record for Nathaniel Lowe?

Yes. Every graded MLB projection StatIQ logs is public (wins and losses alike) and the page shows how close StatIQ has landed for Nathaniel Lowe. No edge or profit is claimed.

Nathaniel Lowe Prop Projections

Cleveland Guardians · 1B · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

4 markets

Hits Home Runs RBIs Total Bases

Hits

Oct 16

Projection only

0.62Projection · hits

0.5Line

+0.12Gap

Compare prices

No pick logged for Nathaniel Lowe on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
Hits	0.62	0.50	+0.12
Home Runs	0.09	0.50	−0.41
RBIs	0.52	0.50	+0.02
Total Bases	0.98	0.50	+0.48

Recent games

actual results · log current through Oct 15 · includes postseason · via ESPN

0.80Average hits, last 10 (10 games)Under 0.50 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds

Sep 26

Sep 27

Oct 3

Oct 5

Oct 7

Oct 8

Oct 10

Oct 12

Oct 13

Oct 15

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 15 · ● landed under · ○ did not

Full game log

Nathaniel Lowe game log
Date	Opponent	Hits	Projection	Result vs projection
Oct 15	vs TB · Postseason	1	–	–
Oct 13	@ TB · Postseason	0	–	–
Oct 12	@ TB · Postseason	2	–	–
Oct 10	vs CHW · Postseason	0	–	–
Oct 8	@ CHW · Postseason	2	–	–
Oct 7	@ CHW · Postseason	0	–	–
Oct 5	vs CHW · Postseason	0	–	–
Oct 3	vs CHW · Postseason	1	–	–
Sep 27	@ KC	1	–	–
Sep 26	@ KC	1	0.58	+0.42

Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN

Nathaniel Lowe full game log, last 20 games
Date	Opp	Result	AB	R	H	2B	RBI	BB	HBP	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Oct 15	vs TB	W 3-2	3	0	1	1	1	0	0	2	.222	.344	.296	.640
Oct 13	@ TB	L 3-1	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	.208	.345	.250	.595
Oct 12	@ TB	W 7-3	5	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	.250	.400	.300	.700
Oct 10	vs CHW	W 2-0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.200	.400	.267	.667
Oct 8	@ CHW	W 9-5	4	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	.250	.471	.333	.804
Oct 7	@ CHW	W 9-3	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	.125	.417	.250	.667
Oct 5	vs CHW	L 4-3	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	.167	.286	.333	.619
Oct 3	vs CHW	L 3-0	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	.500	.667	1.000	1.667
Sep 27	@ KC	L 3-2	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	.252	.317	.444	.761
Sep 26	@ KC	W 11-5	3	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	.252	.318	.446	.763
Sep 25	@ KC	W 12-9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.251	.319	.447	.766
Sep 23	@ BOS	L 1-0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.251	.317	.447	.764
Sep 22	@ BOS	W 3-2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	.253	.320	.450	.770
Sep 20	vs ATH	W 1-0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.253	.320	.450	.771
Sep 18	vs ATH	W 5-3	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	.255	.323	.454	.777
Sep 15	vs CHW	W 7-6	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	.255	.321	.455	.776
Sep 14	vs CHW	L 7-3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.252	.319	.454	.774
Sep 13	@ MIN	W 9-2	4	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	.253	.321	.457	.778
Sep 12	@ MIN	L 4-3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.251	.320	.456	.776
Sep 11	@ MIN	W 5-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.252	.322	.459	.780

Context

Next game: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Hits · Nathaniel Lowe

Hits · line 0.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet	−152	–
betPARX	−152	+112
BetRivers	−152	–
DraftKings	−156	+117
ESPN BET	−150	+120Best
Hard Rock Bet	−155	+115
Novig	−156	−9900
ProphetX	−142Best	−265
Shown, never used as our price
BetOnline	−154	+119
Dabble	−128	+130
Fliff	−175	+110

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 6:03 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Offshore. Offshore and unlicensed in the US. It has paid reliably for over two decades and often has the better number, but no US regulator can make it pay you, and its rules let it void bets it decides were priced in error, which is exactly the kind of bet we surface.

Pick'em. Pick'em entry, not a single bet. Its per-leg price is not shoppable against a sportsbook's.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Nathaniel Lowe

Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, Home Runs and RBIs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.

Nathaniel Lowe: projection accuracy by market
Market	Graded	Average miss	Landed within
Hits	5	–	–
Total Bases	1	–	–

Neither column is a range for the next game.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection: StatIQ’s number for Nathaniel Lowe’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line: The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap: Projection minus the line (+0.12 for hits). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual: Nathaniel Lowe’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

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