Weekly projection record: week 44, 2026
graded through Nov 6, 1:10 AM ET
NBA
2,827NBA projections · 2,827 graded · MAE 3.44 vs close 3.35
Every NBA projection we published for a game that week that is final with a complete box score. Projections, not picks: no win or loss.
The close was 0.09 closer to the final stat than our projection, on average (2,827 compared). Earlier days are not in the public list, so there is no comparison with the week before.
| Market | Graded | Our MAE | Close MAE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 632 | 5.28 | 5.12 |
| Rebounds | 605 | 2.05 | 2.03 |
| 3-Pointers Made | 547 | 1.20 | 1.21 |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | 529 | 6.88 | 6.64 |
| Assists | 514 | 1.65 | 1.62 |
NFL
37-41NFL Focused · 78 graded · 37-41 · −13.4%
Every pre-registered NFL row of this test with a game that week and a settled result. Measured at a flat 1 unit; no bet was placed.
This week 37-41, −13.4%; the week before 33-34, −9.6%.
| Market | W-L | Return |
|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 18-19 | −14.3% |
| Rec Yds | 8-10 | – |
| Rush Yds | 7-5 | – |
| Rush+Rec Yds | 4-7 | – |
NFL Broad · 101 graded · 50-51 · −9.7% (control test)