Weekly projection record: week 43, 2026
graded through Nov 6, 1:10 AM ET
NBA
2,228NBA projections · 2,228 graded · MAE 3.53 vs close 3.32
Every NBA projection we published for a game that week that is final with a complete box score. Projections, not picks: no win or loss.
The close was 0.22 closer to the final stat than our projection, on average (2,228 compared). Earlier days of this week are not in the public list of graded days, so this count is partial. Earlier days are not in the public list, so there is no comparison with the week before.
| Market | Graded | Our MAE | Close MAE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 502 | 5.43 | 5.07 |
| Rebounds | 471 | 2.19 | 2.06 |
| 3-Pointers Made | 426 | 1.07 | 1.11 |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | 422 | 7.17 | 6.57 |
| Assists | 407 | 1.56 | 1.54 |
NFL
33-34NFL Focused · 67 graded · 33-34 · −9.6%
Every pre-registered NFL row of this test with a game that week and a settled result. Measured at a flat 1 unit; no bet was placed.
This week 33-34, −9.6%; the week before 44-35, +4.0%.
| Market | W-L | Return |
|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 17-13 | +1.2% |
| Rec Yds | 12-9 | +7.9% |
| Rush+Rec Yds | 2-6 | – |
| Rush Yds | 2-6 | – |
NFL Broad · 83 graded · 42-41 · −8.0% (control test)