StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts
← Projections

Jordin Canada

Atlanta Dream · G · WNBA — projections, accuracy, and the game log to decide for yourself.

Game log & hit rates — filter it yourself

How often Assists cleared the under 6.5 — pick a split:

6/1060% cleared underavg 6.5
09-19vs CHI9
09-17vs CON2
08-30vs MIN10
08-28vs POR6
08-25@ LA4
08-23@ PHX5
08-21@ LA11
08-19@ LV5
08-13@ CON4
08-11vs TOR9

Trailing results, not a forecast — shown beside our projection, never instead of it. Game log via ESPN.

Tonight’s projections

Assists6.3 we project
Points12.1 we project
Pts+Reb+Ast21.2 we project
Rebounds3.1 we project
3-Pointers Made0.9 we project

Projection accuracy — every projection we’ve logged

Marketnavg missbiaswithinlast 10
Assists6±3
Pts+Reb+Ast2±5.4
Points2±4
Rebounds1±0.7

Every projection logged before tip and checked against the box score — never deleted. This is accuracy, not a betting record.

Predicted vs actual — recent

DateMarketWe saidActualMiss
09-19Pts+Reb+Ast21.423−1.6
09-17Points11.75+6.7
08-28Points12.311+1.3
08-24Assists6.64+2.6
08-22Assists6.65+1.6
08-20Assists6.611−4.4
08-13Pts+Reb+Ast24.115+9.1
08-10Assists6.99−2.1
08-07Rebounds3.73+0.7
07-17Assists7.113−5.9

Full game log — via ESPN

DateOppResultMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFGFG%3PT3P%FTFT%PF
09-19vs CHIW 106-812711292023-650.01-425.04-4100.01
09-17vs CONW 103-59215022002-540.00-30.01-250.00
08-30vs MINW 89-8136164100126-1250.02-633.32-366.72
08-28vs PORL 101-833211160253-560.01-250.04-666.75
08-25@ LAW 78-71359441024-944.40-30.01-250.00
08-23@ PHXW 99-892912252213-1030.02-728.64-4100.04
08-21@ LAW 124-882795112022-450.02-2100.03-475.01
08-19@ LVW 97-823017653007-1163.62-450.01-250.03
08-13@ CONW 104-69279241023-933.31-333.32-2100.01
08-11vs TORW 107-953620691026-1346.24-944.44-850.02
08-07@ WSHL 79-74359372052-633.30-20.05-955.65
08-05vs PHXW 96-823017540054-1330.82-728.67-887.53
08-03vs LVL 109-87317270042-728.60-30.03-475.02
07-31vs SEAW 98-893110493161-520.00-10.08-8100.03
07-30@ DALW 82-81323683071-616.70-20.01-250.05
07-19vs CHIW 93-913410393034-944.40-30.02-450.01
07-17@ TORW 111-9233180133006-1250.01-425.05-683.33
07-13vs LAW 101-923516392035-1241.71-520.05-5100.01
07-11vs PORL 102-9235104122034-850.00-20.02-540.05
07-10vs SEAW 89-783414983124-1040.00-10.06-785.73